AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

AC Milan

Ferencvárosi

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 71% 14 bookmakers Model 40%

Probability Distribution Home (40%) / Draw (25%) / Away (36%)

AC Milan win (1) 40%

1.35 OddScore Pick

Ferencvárosi win (2) 36%

9.70

Draw (X) 25%

5.50

Probability Distribution Yes — 58% | No — 42%

Both teams to score — Yes 58%

1.90

Both teams to score — No 42%

1.95

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 59% | Under — 41%

Over 2.5 goals 59%

1.53

Under 2.5 goals 41%

2.50

Both teams to score Yes — 58% vs No — 42% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 59% vs Under — 41% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 40% | Market: 71% -44.3% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a AC Milan win in this fixture, with a confidence of 40%. AC Milan come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.43 expected goals for and 1.65 against.

Ferencvárosi arrive with 5-0-0 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. At the current price of 1.35 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

AC Milan Form

Oct 28 Bologna 2 - 4 L

Oct 25 Udinese 2 - 0 W

Oct 22 AFC Bournemouth 0 - 3 L

Oct 18 Atalanta 3 - 2 W

Oct 15 Salzburg 4 - 0 W

Ferencvárosi Form

Oct 22 Torreense 4 - 1 W

Oct 15 Viktoria Plzeň 2 - 1 W

Sep 17 Celtic 3 - 1 W

Aug 27 Trabzonspor 4 - 0 W

Aug 20 Trabzonspor 1 - 0 W

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

AC Milan Ferencvárosi

1.43

xG per match

2.36

1.65

xG against

1.21

11.7

Shots per match

14.7

Possession, %

47.8

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

63.64

66.67

Over 2.5, %

72.73