Bundesliga Predictions

How to Read Our Bundesliga Predictions

Every Bundesliga match card shows two sets of numbers next to each other. Model is the probability calculated by the Sportmonks prediction model, the data provider behind our predictions. Market is the probability implied by the bookmaker odds we track for that fixture. When the two are close, the market and the model broadly agree. When they drift apart, it is worth opening the match and seeing why.

Under the badges you will find the 1X2 split: the chance of a home win (1), a draw (X) and an away win (2). The Pick is simply the outcome the model rates as most likely. It is not a guarantee and it is not a staking suggestion. A pick at 39% means the model still expects the other two outcomes to happen more often combined.

Predictions are refreshed once a day. During the day only the odds and the market estimate move, so if you come back in the evening you may see a different Market figure next to the same Model figure. All kick-off times are shown in UTC.

More detail on the How it works page.

Bundesliga Betting Markets: 1X2, BTTS and Over/Under 2.5

We cover three markets for Bundesliga matches, and only these three.

1X2 (match result). Home win, draw or away win, each with its own probability. Check the away-win percentage as closely as the home one; the pick only tells you which of the three is highest.

Both teams to score (BTTS). The chance that both sides find the net. A high Yes figure points to an open game; a high No figure suggests at least one clean sheet is likely.

Over/Under 2.5 goals. The chance of three or more goals in the match, or two or fewer. It tells you about the expected tempo of the game regardless of who wins.

BTTS and Over/Under 2.5 predictions are not available for every fixture. Use the tabs above the list (All Picks, 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5) to see which matches have a prediction for each market.

About the Bundesliga

The Bundesliga is the top division of German football. Eighteen clubs play each other home and away, which gives each club 34 league matches per season.

With 34 matches per club, a Bundesliga season is four rounds shorter than the 38-match leagues. Our German league predictions and Germany Bundesliga predictions follow the published schedule fixture by fixture, using the same three markets as every other competition on the site.

Prefer short Bundesliga tips? The Pick on each card is the quick answer to every Germany league prediction, with the full probabilities next to it. Goal markets are shown match by match: a Bundesliga prediction for Over/Under 2.5 reflects the two teams in that game, not a general idea of the league.