Europa League Predictions

How to Read Our Europa League Predictions

Every Europa League match card shows two sets of numbers next to each other. Model is the probability calculated by the Sportmonks prediction model, the data provider behind our predictions. Market is the probability implied by the bookmaker odds we track for that fixture. When the two are close, the market and the model broadly agree. When they drift apart, it is worth opening the match and seeing why.

Under the badges you will find the 1X2 split: the chance of a home win (1), a draw (X) and an away win (2). The Pick is simply the outcome the model rates as most likely. It is not a guarantee and it is not a staking suggestion. A pick at 39% means the model still expects the other two outcomes to happen more often combined. Clubs from many different leagues meet in this competition, so comparing the model with the market is especially useful here.

Predictions are refreshed once a day. During the day only the odds and the market estimate move, so if you come back in the evening you may see a different Market figure next to the same Model figure. All kick-off times are shown in UTC.

More detail on the How it works page.

Europa League Betting Markets: 1X2, BTTS and Over/Under 2.5

We cover three markets for Europa League matches, and only these three.

1X2 (match result). Home win, draw or away win, each with its own probability. Read all three outcomes before looking at the pick; the draw has its own probability on every card.

Both teams to score (BTTS). The chance that both sides find the net. A high Yes figure points to an open game; a high No figure suggests at least one clean sheet is likely.

Over/Under 2.5 goals. The chance of three or more goals in the match, or two or fewer. It tells you about the expected tempo of the game regardless of who wins.

BTTS and Over/Under 2.5 predictions are not available for every fixture. Use the tabs above the list (All Picks, 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5) to see which matches have a prediction for each market.

About the Europa League

The UEFA Europa League is Europe's second club competition. Since the 2024/25 season it has used a single league phase: 36 clubs in one table, each playing eight matches, four at home and four away.

The top eight go directly to the round of 16. Clubs placed 9th to 24th meet in a knockout play-off, and clubs finishing 25th to 36th are eliminated.

Our UEFA Europa League predictions follow the fixtures the provider publishes predictions for, through the league phase and into the knockout rounds, with the same three markets on every card. For quick Europa League tips, the Pick on each card is the short answer.