Serie A Predictions

How to Read Our Serie A Predictions

Every Serie A match card shows two sets of numbers next to each other. Model is the probability calculated by the Sportmonks prediction model, the data provider behind our predictions. Market is the probability implied by the bookmaker odds we track for that fixture. When the two are close, the market and the model broadly agree. When they drift apart, it is worth opening the match and seeing why.

Under the badges you will find the 1X2 split: the chance of a home win (1), a draw (X) and an away win (2). The Pick is simply the outcome the model rates as most likely. It is not a guarantee and it is not a staking suggestion. A pick at 39% means the model still expects the other two outcomes to happen more often combined.

Predictions are refreshed once a day. During the day only the odds and the market estimate move, so if you come back in the evening you may see a different Market figure next to the same Model figure. All kick-off times are shown in UTC.

More detail on the How it works page.

Serie A Betting Markets: 1X2, BTTS and Over/Under 2.5

We cover three markets for Serie A matches, and only these three.

1X2 (match result). Home win, draw or away win, each with its own probability. Read the draw percentage carefully: it often decides whether a short-priced favourite is worth considering at all.

Both teams to score (BTTS). The chance that both sides find the net. A high Yes figure points to an open game; a high No figure suggests at least one clean sheet is likely.

Over/Under 2.5 goals. The chance of three or more goals in the match, or two or fewer. It tells you about the expected tempo of the game regardless of who wins.

BTTS and Over/Under 2.5 predictions are not available for every fixture. Use the tabs above the list (All Picks, 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5) to see which matches have a prediction for each market.

About Serie A

Serie A is Italy's top division. Twenty clubs play a 38-round season, each meeting every other club home and away, and the league has kept the 20-club format for 2026/27.

Our Italian league predictions and Italy Serie A predictions cover the fixtures the provider publishes predictions for. Every card uses the same three markets, so you can compare an Italy Serie A prediction with any other league on the site using the same numbers.

If you came for Serie A betting tips, read the Pick on each card as the short answer and the percentages as the detail behind it. Every Italy league prediction here, like all our Italian Serie A predictions, shows totals and both-teams-to-score probabilities per match rather than as league averages.