AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 9
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
versus
Leeds United
Leeds United
Saturday, 31 October 2026 — 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 45% 17 bookmakers Model 53%
Probability Distribution Home (53%) / Draw (27%) / Away (20%)
AFC Bournemouth win (1) 53%
2.17 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 27%
3.56
Leeds United win (2) 20%
3.70
Probability Distribution No — 53% | Yes — 47%
Both teams to score — No 53%
2.15
Both teams to score — Yes 47%
1.70
Probability Distribution Under — 55% | Over 2.5 — 45%
Under 2.5 goals 55%
2.00
Over 2.5 goals 45%
1.94
Both teams to score Yes — 47% vs No — 53% No
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 45% vs Under — 55% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 53% | Market: 45% +18.0% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

AFC Bournemouth host Leeds United in Premier League round nine on 31 October 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 UTC. The model gives Bournemouth a 54.75% probability of winning, compared with 26.23% for a draw and 18.98% for a Leeds victory. Bournemouth are 13th after eight matches, with two wins, three draws and three defeats, while Leeds sit seventh with two wins, five draws and one defeat. Leeds have scored nine goals and conceded six; Bournemouth have scored 12 and conceded 13.

The goal projections suggest a relatively controlled match. The probability of more than 1.5 goals is 68.7%, while the figures fall to 44.47% for more than 2.5 and 25.27% for more than 3.5. Both teams have scored in 62.5% of each side’s league matches, but the model gives 54.04% to both teams not scoring. The previous two meetings ended 2-2, on 22 April 2026 and 27 September 2025. Leeds will be without Joe Rodon and Mateo Joseph through injury. Bournemouth have Alex Scott, Amine Adli, David Brooks, Eli Junior Éric Anatole Rainha Kroupi, Julián Araujo, Junior Kroupi, Justin Kluivert, Luis Sinisterra, Matai Akinmboni and Will Dennis injured, while Daniel Jebbison, Fraser Forster, Juanlu Sánchez, Max Aarons and Veljko Milosavljevic are suspended.

AFC Bournemouth Form

Oct 25 Manchester United 3 - 0 W
Oct 22 AC Milan 3 - 0 W
Oct 18 Sunderland 2 - 0 W
Oct 15 Sturm Graz 3 - 0 W
Oct 10 Chelsea 1 - 5 L

Leeds United Form

Oct 25 Sunderland 0 - 0 D
Oct 18 Manchester United 1 - 1 D
Oct 10 Arsenal 1 - 2 L
Sep 20 Crystal Palace 0 - 0 D
Sep 14 Newcastle United 4 - 1 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 22, 2026 AFC Bournemouth 2 - 2 Leeds United Vitality Stadium
Sep 27, 2025 Leeds United 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth Elland Road

Key Stats & Team Metrics

AFC Bournemouth Leeds United
1.69
xG per match
1.26
1.07
xG against
1.36
14.5
Shots per match
11.9
48.9
Possession, %
47.5
12
Goals this season
9
62.5
Both teams scored, %
62.5
62.5
Over 2.5, %
25