Anderlecht vs Salzburg Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

Anderlecht

Salzburg

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Lotto Park

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 49% 14 bookmakers Model 48%

Probability Distribution Home (29%) / Draw (23%) / Away (48%)

Salzburg win (2) 48%

3.93 OddScore Pick

Anderlecht win (1) 29%

1.96

Draw (X) 23%

4.06

Probability Distribution Yes — 56% | No — 44%

Both teams to score — Yes 56%

1.55

Both teams to score — No 44%

2.45

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 44%

Over 2.5 goals 56%

1.62

Under 2.5 goals 44%

2.42

Both teams to score Yes — 56% vs No — 44% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 56% vs Under — 44% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 48% | Market: 26% +86.3% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Salzburg win in this fixture, with a confidence of 48%. Anderlecht come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.51 expected goals for and 1.18 against.

Salzburg arrive with 3-1-1 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. At the current price of 3.93 that leaves a 86.3% edge over the market.

Anderlecht Form

Oct 22 Jagiellonia Białystok 3 - 0 W

Oct 15 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1 L

Sep 16 Olympique Lyonnais 1 - 2 L

Aug 27 Kairat 3 - 0 W

Aug 20 Kairat 3 - 0 W

Salzburg Form

Oct 22 Celje 2 - 2 D

Oct 15 AC Milan 0 - 4 L

Sep 17 Levski Sofia 1 - 0 W

Aug 27 Mjällby 3 - 0 W

Aug 20 Mjällby 1 - 0 W

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Anderlecht Salzburg

1.51

xG per match

1.67

1.18

xG against

1.4

12.5

Shots per match

16.5

57.2

Possession, %

56.5

Goals this season

44.44

Both teams scored, %

28.57

66.67

Over 2.5, %

57.14