Arsenal vs Everton Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 8

Arsenal

Everton

Saturday, 24 October 2026 — 14:00 UTC

Emirates Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 67% 17 bookmakers Model 65%

Probability Distribution Home (65%) / Draw (21%) / Away (14%)

Arsenal win (1) 65%

1.47 OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 21%

5.35

Everton win (2) 14%

9.10

Probability Distribution No — 54% | Yes — 46%

Both teams to score — No 54%

1.85

Both teams to score — Yes 46%

1.95

Probability Distribution Under — 51% | Over 2.5 — 49%

Under 2.5 goals 51%

2.24

Over 2.5 goals 49%

1.87

Both teams to score Yes — 46% vs No — 54% No

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 49% vs Under — 51% Under

Neural edge detected Model: 65% | Market: 67% -3.8% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Arsenal win in this fixture, with a confidence of 65%. Arsenal come into this one having taken 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.85 expected goals for and 0.82 against.

Everton arrive with 1-2-2 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. At the current price of 1.47 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Arsenal Form

Oct 24 Everton 2 - 0 W

Oct 21 FC Bayern München 2 - 2 D

Oct 18 Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 W

Oct 13 LOSC Lille 3 - 0 W

Oct 10 Leeds United 2 - 1 W

Everton Form

Oct 24 Arsenal 0 - 2 L

Oct 17 Chelsea 0 - 2 L

Oct 11 Hull City 2 - 2 D

Sep 19 Ipswich Town 1 - 0 W

Sep 12 Tottenham Hotspur 0 - 0 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Mar 14, 2026 Arsenal 2 - 0 Everton Emirates Stadium

Dec 20, 2025 Everton 0 - 1 Arsenal Hill Dickinson Stadium

Apr 5, 2025 Everton 1 - 1 Arsenal Goodison Park

Dec 14, 2024 Arsenal 0 - 0 Everton Emirates Stadium

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Arsenal Everton

1.85

xG per match

1.18

0.82

xG against

1.51

13.3

Shots per match

13.6

Possession, %

46.5

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

37.5

Over 2.5, %