Aston Villa vs Fulham Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 9
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
versus
Fulham
Fulham
Saturday, 31 October 2026 — 20:00 UTC Villa Park

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 48% 17 bookmakers Model 44%
Probability Distribution Home (44%) / Draw (26%) / Away (30%)
Aston Villa win (1) 44%
2.05 OddScore Pick
Fulham win (2) 30%
3.82
Draw (X) 26%
3.82
Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%
Both teams to score — Yes 57%
1.61
Both teams to score — No 43%
2.40
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 44%
Over 2.5 goals 56%
1.76
Under 2.5 goals 44%
2.23
Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 56% vs Under — 44% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 44% | Market: 48% -8.6% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Aston Villa go into this Premier League meeting as the model’s more likely winner, with a 45.64% home-win probability compared with 28.61% for Fulham and 25.75% for a draw. Villa are ninth after eight matches, with three wins, two draws and three defeats, while Fulham are 15th with two wins, two draws and four defeats. Villa have scored nine goals and conceded 12; Fulham have scored eight and conceded 10.

The model gives a 55.06% probability that both teams will score and a 53.75% probability of more than 2.5 goals. The teams’ season records show both teams scoring in 50% of their matches, while over 2.5 goals has occurred in 62.5% of Aston Villa’s games and 37.5% of Fulham’s. Recent head-to-head results have been mixed: Fulham won 1-0 in April 2026, while Aston Villa won the previous three meetings, by 3-1, 1-0 and 3-1. Fulham will be without Hugo Larsson and Tom Cairney through injury. Aston Villa have 11 unavailable players listed, including João Gomes and Taylor Harwood-Bellis through suspension, alongside several injury absences.

Aston Villa Form

Oct 24 Manchester City 2 - 1 W
Oct 21 Viking 3 - 1 W
Oct 17 Newcastle United 1 - 0 W
Oct 14 Fenerbahçe 6 - 0 W
Oct 10 Brentford 2 - 2 D

Fulham Form

Oct 24 Coventry City 1 - 0 W
Oct 17 Hull City 1 - 0 W
Oct 10 Ipswich Town 1 - 2 L
Sep 20 Manchester United 1 - 1 D
Sep 12 Liverpool 0 - 0 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 25, 2026 Fulham 1 - 0 Aston Villa Craven Cottage
Sep 28, 2025 Aston Villa 3 - 1 Fulham Villa Park
May 3, 2025 Aston Villa 1 - 0 Fulham Villa Park
Oct 19, 2024 Fulham 1 - 3 Aston Villa Craven Cottage

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Aston Villa Fulham
1.11
xG per match
1.53
1.69
xG against
1.19
11.4
Shots per match
14.4
46
Possession, %
58
9
Goals this season
8
50
Both teams scored, %
50
62.5
Over 2.5, %
37.5