Atalanta vs Kairat Prediction & Tips

Europa Conference League • Round 3

Atalanta

Kairat

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Gewiss Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 79% 14 bookmakers Model 63%

Probability Distribution Home (63%) / Draw (21%) / Away (15%)

Atalanta win (1) 63%

1.20 OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 21%

7.80

Kairat win (2) 15%

15.50

Probability Distribution Yes — 51% | No — 49%

Both teams to score — Yes 51%

2.10

Both teams to score — No 49%

1.85

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 53% | Under — 47%

Over 2.5 goals 53%

1.44

Under 2.5 goals 47%

2.96

Both teams to score Yes — 51% vs No — 49% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 53% vs Under — 47% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 63% | Market: 79% -20.7% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Atalanta win in this fixture, with a confidence of 63%. Atalanta come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.65 expected goals for and 1.02 against.

Kairat arrive with 0-1-4 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. At the current price of 1.20 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Atalanta Form

Oct 29 Fiorentina 2 - 2 D

Oct 25 Frosinone 4 - 4 D

Oct 22 Ajax 0 - 2 L

Oct 18 AC Milan 2 - 3 L

Oct 15 Pafos FC 3 - 1 W

Kairat Form

Oct 22 Panathinaikos 1 - 5 L

Oct 15 Riga 1 - 1 D

Aug 27 Anderlecht 0 - 3 L

Aug 20 Anderlecht 0 - 3 L

Aug 11 Levski Sofia 0 - 1 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Atalanta Kairat

1.65

xG per match

0.92

1.02

xG against

2.51

14.8

Shots per match

Possession, %

39.5

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

100

Over 2.5, %