Atalanta win (1)
67%
1.52
OddScore Pick
67%
Atalanta vs Parma Prediction & Tips
Serie A
• Round 10
Atalanta
Parma
Monday, 2 November 2026 — 19:45 UTC
Gewiss Stadium
Gewiss Stadium
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
63%
15 bookmakers
Model
67%
67%
Probability Distribution
Home (67%) / Draw (19%) / Away (14%)
Draw (X)
19%
4.70
Parma win (2)
14%
6.85
Probability Distribution
No — 53% | Yes — 47%
Both teams to score — No
53%
2.00
Both teams to score — Yes
47%
1.80
Probability Distribution
Over 2.5 — 55% | Under — 45%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.73
Under 2.5 goals
45%
2.32
No
Over
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards a Atalanta win in this fixture, with a confidence of 67%. Atalanta come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.46 expected goals for and 2.01 against.
Parma arrive with 1-1-3 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. At the current price of 1.52 that leaves a 6.2% edge over the market.
Atalanta Form
Oct 29
Fiorentina
2 - 2
D
Oct 25
Frosinone
4 - 4
D
Oct 22
Ajax
0 - 2
L
Oct 18
AC Milan
2 - 3
L
Oct 15
Pafos FC
3 - 1
W
Parma Form
Oct 28
Udinese
0 - 0
D
Oct 24
Lazio
1 - 2
L
Oct 19
Torino
0 - 3
L
Oct 10
Inter
0 - 3
L
Sep 20
Genoa
2 - 1
W
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Jan 25, 2026
Atalanta
4 - 0
Parma
Gewiss Stadium
Aug 30, 2025
Parma
1 - 1
Atalanta
Stadio Ennio Tardini
May 25, 2025
Atalanta
2 - 3
Parma
Gewiss Stadium
Nov 23, 2024
Parma
1 - 3
Atalanta
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Key Stats & Team Metrics
Atalanta
Parma
1.46
xG per match
0.95
2.01
xG against
1.64
13.9
Shots per match
10.3
46.3
Possession, %
42.1
16
Goals this season
5
77.78
Both teams scored, %
44.44
77.78
Over 2.5, %
55.56