Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Atlético de Madrid host Deportivo A Coruña in Round 10 of La Liga, and the model makes the home side clear favourites. It gives Atlético a 60.19% chance of winning, the draw 23.18% and the away side 16.68%. The best bookmaker odds of 1.31 for a home win, 6.48 for a draw and 11 for an away win point the same way. Atlético sit second in the table with seven wins, one draw and one defeat from nine games, and a goal record of 19 scored and 8 conceded. Deportivo are ninth with two wins, five draws and two defeats, and have scored 13 and conceded 12.

The goals markets look finely balanced. The model puts over 2.5 goals at 50.24% and under 2.5 at 49.76%. Over 1.5 is at 74.44% and over 3.5 at 28.56%. Both teams scoring is rated at 48.59%, slightly below the 51.41% for at least one side failing to score. The season form tells two different stories. Atlético's games have gone over 2.5 goals 77.78% of the time, but both teams have scored in only 44.44% of them. Deportivo's matches have seen both teams score 88.89% of the time, though only 33.33% have gone over 2.5 goals. Their five draws fit a team that plays tight, close matches.

Both sides have absences. Deportivo will be without Lorenzo Amatucci, who is suspended, and the injured Marc Casadó, Noé Carrillo, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Zakaria Eddahchouri. Atlético are missing Alexander Sørloth, Cristian Romero, Javi Galán, Koke and Pablo Barrios through injury. The model favours Atlético, but a 23.18% draw chance and a 16.68% away-win chance leave real room for other results.