Atlético de Madrid vs Viking Prediction & Tips

Champions League • Round 5
Atlético de Madrid
Atlético de Madrid
versus
Viking
Viking
Wednesday, 25 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC Riyadh Air Metropolitano

AI Prediction Markets

Model 50%
Probability Distribution Home (50%) / Draw (23%) / Away (26%)
Atlético de Madrid win (1) 50%
— OddScore Pick
Viking win (2) 26%
—
Draw (X) 23%
—
Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%
Both teams to score — Yes 55%
—
Both teams to score — No 45%
—
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 57% | Under — 43%
Over 2.5 goals 57%
—
Under 2.5 goals 43%
—
Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 57% vs Under — 43% Over

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Atlético de Madrid host Viking in the opening round of the Champions League. Looking at the statistical model, the home side enters the fixture as the favorite with a 50.4% probability of securing a victory. A draw is rated at 23.35%, while an away win for Viking stands at 26.24%. Goal expectations tilt toward an open encounter, with the probability of both teams scoring calculated at 54.97% and over 2.5 total goals assigned a 56.68% chance. Over 1.5 goals is viewed as highly likely at 78.38%, whereas the likelihood of seeing more than 3.5 goals drops to 34.47%.

Recent records provide further context for both sides. Across four matches last season, Atlético de Madrid recorded two wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring seven goals and conceding six. Half of those fixtures saw both teams score, while 75% finished with over 2.5 goals, placing them seventh in the standings. Viking, currently positioned 23rd this season, have played two matches, earning one win and one draw. They have scored five goals and conceded three, with all of their games featuring goals at both ends and exceeding 2.5 total goals.

Both squads will have to manage key absences due to injury. Atlético de Madrid will be without Alexander Sørloth and Javi Galán. Viking travel with several missing players of their own, as Anders Bærtelsen, Gianni Stensness, Martin Ove Roseth, and Veton Berisha are all ruled out through injury.

Atlético de Madrid Form

Oct 24 Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0 W
Oct 20 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Espanyol 1 - 0 W
Oct 13 Manchester United 2 - 0 W
Oct 10 Deportivo Alavés 2 - 1 W

Viking Form

Oct 21 Aston Villa 1 - 3 L
Oct 13 FC Bayern München 3 - 3 D
Sep 9 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 3 L
Aug 26 Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 1 W
Aug 18 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 2 D

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Atlético de Madrid Viking
0.94
xG per match
1.12
1.28
xG against
2.64
10
Shots per match
9.2
53
Possession, %
39.2
4
Goals this season
10
66.67
Both teams scored, %
100
33.33
Over 2.5, %
100