Auxerre vs Le Mans Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 8

Auxerre

Le Mans

Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 16:15 UTC

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 46% 17 bookmakers Model 48%

Probability Distribution Home (48%) / Draw (25%) / Away (27%)

Auxerre win (1) 48%

2.16 OddScore Pick

Le Mans win (2) 27%

3.59

Draw (X) 25%

3.70

Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%

Both teams to score — Yes 55%

1.60

Both teams to score — No 45%

2.38

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 52% | Under — 48%

Over 2.5 goals 52%

1.77

Under 2.5 goals 48%

2.22

Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 52% vs Under — 48% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 48% | Market: 46% +4.9% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Auxerre win in this fixture, with a confidence of 48%. Auxerre come into this one having taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.19 expected goals for and 1.86 against.

Le Mans arrive with 1-2-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. At the current price of 2.16 that leaves a 4.9% edge over the market.

Auxerre Form

Oct 25 Le Mans 1 - 1 D

Oct 18 Le Havre 3 - 1 W

Oct 11 Rennes 1 - 4 L

Sep 20 Brest 2 - 1 W

Sep 12 Nice 1 - 0 W

Le Mans Form

Oct 25 Auxerre 1 - 1 D

Oct 16 Toulouse 0 - 3 L

Oct 10 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 L

Sep 19 Lorient 2 - 1 W

Sep 13 Lens 2 - 2 D

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Auxerre Le Mans

1.19

xG per match

1.46

1.86

xG against

1.86

12.3

Shots per match

10.5

47.9

Possession, %

43.9

Goals this season

87.5

Both teams scored, %

87.5

Over 2.5, %