Auxerre vs Paris Prediction & Tips

Ligue 1 • Round 10

Auxerre

Paris

Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 16:15 UTC

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 49% 7 bookmakers Model 39%

Probability Distribution Home (39%) / Draw (27%) / Away (34%)

Auxerre win (1) 39%

3.70 OddScore Pick

Paris win (2) 34%

2.05

Draw (X) 27%

3.90

Probability Distribution Yes — 56% | No — 44%

Both teams to score — Yes 56%

1.66

Both teams to score — No 44%

2.10

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 52% | Under — 48%

Over 2.5 goals 52%

1.72

Under 2.5 goals 48%

2.10

Both teams to score Yes — 56% vs No — 44% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 52% vs Under — 48% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 39% | Market: 26% +50.6% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Auxerre win in this fixture, with a confidence of 39%. Auxerre come into this one having taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.19 expected goals for and 1.86 against.

Paris arrive with 2-1-2 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. At the current price of 3.70 that leaves a 50.6% edge over the market.

Auxerre Form

Oct 25 Le Mans 1 - 1 D

Oct 18 Le Havre 3 - 1 W

Oct 11 Rennes 1 - 4 L

Sep 20 Brest 2 - 1 W

Sep 12 Nice 1 - 0 W

Paris Form

Oct 24 Lens 1 - 2 L

Oct 18 Rennes 4 - 3 W

Oct 10 Lorient 0 - 1 L

Sep 19 Strasbourg 2 - 1 W

Sep 12 Olympique Lyonnais 0 - 0 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Feb 8, 2026 Auxerre 0 - 0 Paris Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Nov 29, 2025 Paris 1 - 1 Auxerre Stade Jean Bouin

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Auxerre Paris

1.19

xG per match

1.61

1.86

xG against

1.05

12.3

Shots per match

13.1

47.9

Possession, %

51.1

Goals this season

87.5

Both teams scored, %

Over 2.5, %

62.5