AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

AZ Alkmaar

Juventus

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC

AFAS Stadion

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 47% 14 bookmakers Model 38%

Probability Distribution Home (37%) / Draw (26%) / Away (38%)

Juventus win (2) 38%

2.05 OddScore Pick

AZ Alkmaar win (1) 37%

3.71

Draw (X) 26%

3.78

Probability Distribution Yes — 53% | No — 47%

Both teams to score — Yes 53%

1.73

Both teams to score — No 47%

2.15

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 51% | Under — 49%

Over 2.5 goals 51%

1.84

Under 2.5 goals 49%

2.05

Both teams to score Yes — 53% vs No — 47% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 51% vs Under — 49% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 38% | Market: 47% -19.2% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Juventus win in this fixture, with a confidence of 38%. AZ Alkmaar come into this one having taken 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 3. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.71 expected goals for and 1.41 against.

Juventus arrive with 2-1-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. At the current price of 2.05 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

AZ Alkmaar Form

Oct 22 Ararat-Armenia 4 - 0 W

Oct 15 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 1 W

Sep 16 Sunderland 0 - 1 L

Juventus Form

Oct 28 Genoa 0 - 2 L

Oct 25 Lecce 2 - 0 W

Oct 22 Rennes 2 - 2 D

Oct 18 Lazio 0 - 3 L

Oct 15 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 W

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

AZ Alkmaar Juventus

1.71

xG per match

2.47

1.41

xG against

1.22

14.3

Shots per match

15.7

58.3

Possession, %

51.7

Goals this season

33.33

Both teams scored, %

66.67

Over 2.5, %

100