Bodø / Glimt vs Atlético de Madrid Prediction & Tips

Champions League • Round 1
Bodø / Glimt
Bodø / Glimt
versus
Atlético de Madrid
Atlético de Madrid
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 — 19:00 UTC Aspmyra Stadion

AI Prediction Markets

Model 58%
Probability Distribution Home (58%) / Draw (19%) / Away (22%)
Bodø / Glimt win (1) 58%
— OddScore Pick
Atlético de Madrid win (2) 22%
—
Draw (X) 19%
—
Probability Distribution Yes — 64% | No — 36%
Both teams to score — Yes 64%
—
Both teams to score — No 36%
—
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 74% | Under — 26%
Over 2.5 goals 74%
—
Under 2.5 goals 26%
—
Both teams to score Yes — 64% vs No — 36% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 74% vs Under — 26% Over

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Bodø / Glimt host Atlético de Madrid in the opening round of the Champions League on September 8, 2026. The home side enter the contest in strong current form, having recorded three wins and one draw across four matches while scoring 12 goals and conceding six. In their four fixtures, both teams scored in 75 percent of the games, and every match produced over 2.5 goals. Atlético de Madrid's record shows two wins, one draw, and one defeat across four matches, with seven goals scored and six conceded. In the most recent head-to-head meeting on January 28, 2026, Bodø / Glimt secured a 2-1 away victory against Atlético de Madrid.

Squad availability presents notable challenges for both sides ahead of this fixture. Bodø / Glimt will be without six injured players: August Mikkelsen, Daniel Bassi, Håkon Evjen, Jostein Gundersen, Odin Luras Bjortuft, and Ulrik Saltnes. Atlético de Madrid also have absences due to injury, missing Alexander Sørloth and Javi Galán. Both clubs currently occupy seventh place in their respective league standings.

Analytical model estimates assign Bodø / Glimt a 58.04 percent probability of securing a home win, compared to 22.44 percent for an away victory and 19.49 percent for a draw. The metrics indicate a strong likelihood of offensive output, with over 1.5 goals estimated at an 89.42 percent probability, over 2.5 goals at 74.05 percent, and over 3.5 goals at 54.32 percent. Furthermore, the model calculates a 64.28 percent probability that both teams will score during the match.

Bodø / Glimt Form

Oct 20 Napoli 3 - 4 L
Oct 14 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 W
Sep 10 FC Bayern München 0 - 5 L
Aug 25 NEC Nijmegen 3 - 0 W
Aug 19 NEC Nijmegen 3 - 1 W

Atlético de Madrid Form

Oct 24 Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0 W
Oct 20 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Espanyol 1 - 0 W
Oct 13 Manchester United 2 - 0 W
Oct 10 Deportivo Alavés 2 - 1 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Jan 28, 2026 Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 Bodø / Glimt Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Bodø / Glimt Atlético de Madrid
1.72
xG per match
0.94
1.27
xG against
1.28
13.5
Shots per match
10
53.3
Possession, %
53
16
Goals this season
4
57.14
Both teams scored, %
66.67
85.71
Over 2.5, %
33.33