Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 9

Borussia Dortmund

Elversberg

Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 14:30 UTC

Signal Iduna Park

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 73% 11 bookmakers Model 70%

Probability Distribution Home (70%) / Draw (18%) / Away (12%)

Borussia Dortmund win (1) 70%

1.33 OddScore Pick

Draw (X) 18%

6.58

Elversberg win (2) 12%

9.50

Probability Distribution No — 51% | Yes — 49%

Both teams to score — No 51%

2.20

Both teams to score — Yes 49%

1.61

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 57% | Under — 43%

Over 2.5 goals 57%

1.33

Under 2.5 goals 43%

3.40

Both teams to score Yes — 49% vs No — 51% No

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 57% vs Under — 43% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 70% | Market: 73% -5.0% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Borussia Dortmund win in this fixture, with a confidence of 70%. Borussia Dortmund come into this one having taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.66 expected goals for and 0.84 against.

Elversberg arrive with 2-1-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. At the current price of 1.33 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Borussia Dortmund Form

Oct 24 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0 W

Oct 20 Sabah 2 - 1 W

Oct 17 FC Union Berlin 0 - 0 D

Oct 14 Bodø / Glimt 0 - 1 L

Oct 9 Werder Bremen 2 - 2 D

Elversberg Form

Oct 30 FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 W

Oct 24 RB Leipzig 0 - 4 L

Oct 17 FC Augsburg 4 - 3 W

Oct 10 FC Union Berlin 0 - 1 L

Sep 20 Schalke 04 0 - 0 D

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Borussia Dortmund Elversberg

1.66

xG per match

1.57

0.84

xG against

2.28

15.6

Shots per match

10.6

55.4

Possession, %

45.8

Goals this season

28.57

Both teams scored, %

62.5

42.86

Over 2.5, %