Brest vs Nice Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Brest host Nice in round 8 of Ligue 1 on 23 October, with the model giving the home side the edge. It puts Brest's win probability at 46.95%, the draw at 26.08% and a Nice win at 27%. The best available home odds of 2.31 are in line with that view. Brest sit 10th after seven matches with two wins, three draws and two defeats, and a goal difference of 13:10. Nice are 13th with two wins, two draws and three defeats, and have scored 6 and conceded 9.

The goal markets point to a moderately open game. The model gives 53.42% for both teams scoring and 50.46% for over 2.5 goals, which is close to an even split. Over 1.5 goals is rated at 74.48%, over 3.5 at 28.98% and over 4.5 at 16.42%. Brest's matches have been the more open of the two this season. Both teams have scored in 85.71% of their games and over 2.5 goals has landed in 71.43%. For Nice the figures are 57.14% for both measures. Nice have scored fewer goals, so the model's near-even view on over 2.5 sits between the two sides' profiles.

The recent head-to-head has varied. Brest won 4:1 in September 2025, Nice won 6:0 in May 2025 and 1:0 in November 2024, and the latest meeting, in February 2026, ended 2:2. Brest are without Brendan Chardonnet, Giovani Versini, Justin Bourgault and Raphaël Le Guen through injury. Nice are missing Antoine Mendy, Laurent Abergel and Morgan Sanson. These probabilities are estimates, and a Nice win or a draw remains a realistic outcome.