Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 8
Cagliari
Cagliari
versus
Bologna
Bologna
Saturday, 24 October 2026 — 13:00 UTC Sardegna Arena

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 36% 17 bookmakers Model 37%
Probability Distribution Home (34%) / Draw (29%) / Away (37%)
Bologna win (2) 37%
2.78 OddScore Pick
Cagliari win (1) 34%
3.10
Draw (X) 29%
3.17
Probability Distribution No — 52% | Yes — 48%
Both teams to score — No 52%
1.91
Both teams to score — Yes 48%
1.90
Probability Distribution Under — 58% | Over 2.5 — 42%
Under 2.5 goals 58%
1.71
Over 2.5 goals 42%
2.35
Both teams to score Yes — 48% vs No — 52% No
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 42% vs Under — 58% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 37% | Market: 36% +3.5% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Bologna win in this fixture, with a confidence of 37%. Cagliari come into this one having taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.11 expected goals for and 1.84 against.

Bologna arrive with 3-1-1 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%. At the current price of 2.78 that leaves a 3.5% edge over the market.

Cagliari Form

Oct 27 Roma 2 - 4 L
Oct 24 Bologna 0 - 2 L
Oct 19 Monza 0 - 4 L
Oct 11 Juventus 1 - 1 D
Sep 19 Udinese 1 - 0 W

Bologna Form

Oct 28 AC Milan 4 - 2 W
Oct 24 Cagliari 2 - 0 W
Oct 17 Inter 1 - 3 L
Oct 11 Lecce 2 - 1 W
Sep 19 Torino 1 - 1 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
May 3, 2026 Bologna 0 - 0 Cagliari Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Oct 19, 2025 Cagliari 0 - 2 Bologna Sardegna Arena
Mar 2, 2025 Bologna 2 - 1 Cagliari Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Oct 29, 2024 Cagliari 0 - 2 Bologna Sardegna Arena

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Cagliari Bologna
1.11
xG per match
1.36
1.84
xG against
1.21
10.8
Shots per match
11.9
42.4
Possession, %
46.1
8
Goals this season
12
33.33
Both teams scored, %
55.56
33.33
Over 2.5, %
44.44