Celje vs Salzburg Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 3

Celje

Salzburg

Thursday, 22 October 2026 — 19:00 UTC

Stadion Z'dežele

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 60% 18 bookmakers Model 56%

Probability Distribution Home (23%) / Draw (21%) / Away (56%)

Salzburg win (2) 56%

1.70 OddScore Pick

Celje win (1) 23%

6.00

Draw (X) 21%

4.50

Probability Distribution Yes — 54% | No — 46%

Both teams to score — Yes 54%

1.66

Both teams to score — No 46%

2.50

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 58% | Under — 42%

Over 2.5 goals 58%

1.54

Under 2.5 goals 42%

2.62

Both teams to score Yes — 54% vs No — 46% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 58% vs Under — 42% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 56% | Market: 60% -6.6% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Salzburg win in this fixture, with a confidence of 56%. Celje come into this one having taken 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.01 expected goals for and 1.5 against.

Salzburg arrive with 3-1-1 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. At the current price of 1.70 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Celje Form

Oct 22 Salzburg 2 - 2 D

Oct 15 Omonia Nicosia 0 - 3 L

Sep 16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 - 2 L

Aug 26 Slovan Bratislava 1 - 2 L

Aug 19 Slovan Bratislava 1 - 1 D

Salzburg Form

Oct 22 Celje 2 - 2 D

Oct 15 AC Milan 0 - 4 L

Sep 17 Levski Sofia 1 - 0 W

Aug 27 Mjällby 3 - 0 W

Aug 20 Mjällby 1 - 0 W

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Celje Salzburg

1.01

xG per match

1.67

1.5

xG against

1.4

Shots per match

16.5

51.7

Possession, %

56.5

Goals this season

33.33

Both teams scored, %

28.57

66.67

Over 2.5, %

57.14