Celta de Vigo vs Juventus Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 2
Celta de Vigo
Celta de Vigo
versus
Juventus
Juventus
Thursday, 15 October 2026 — 19:00 UTC Abanca-Balaídos

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 42% 18 bookmakers Model 49%
Probability Distribution Home (26%) / Draw (26%) / Away (49%)
Juventus win (2) 49%
2.30 OddScore Pick
Celta de Vigo win (1) 26%
3.67
Draw (X) 26%
3.35
Probability Distribution No — 50% | Yes — 50%
Both teams to score — No 50%
1.83
Both teams to score — Yes 50%
2.00
Probability Distribution Under — 52% | Over 2.5 — 48%
Under 2.5 goals 52%
1.66
Over 2.5 goals 48%
2.43
Both teams to score Yes — 50% vs No — 50% No
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 48% vs Under — 52% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 49% | Market: 42% +16.1% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Juventus go into this Europa League round 2 fixture as the model's favourites. They are given a 48.67% chance of winning, against 25.74% for Celta de Vigo and 25.59% for a draw. The best available away price of 2.16 implies roughly 46%, so the model is a little more positive on Juventus than the market is. Celta's home price of 3.75 implies about 27%, close to the model's figure. The draw is rated slightly lower by the model than the 3.49 price suggests. Juventus have played once this season and won 5:0, while Celta lost their only match 0:1.

The goals markets point to a moderately open game. The model puts over 1.5 goals at 72.15% and over 2.5 at 47.86%, with under 2.5 slightly ahead at 52.14%. Over 3.5 is 25.37% and over 4.5 is 14.03%. Both teams to score is almost evenly split, at 49.84% for yes and 50.16% for no. Juventus' opening 5:0 win went over 2.5 goals, but it is a single match and says little about what to expect here.

Absences may matter on both sides. Juventus are missing Andrea Cambiaso, Arkadiusz Milik, Dušan Vlahović, Jeff Ekhator, Jérémie Boga, Juan Cabal, Kamil Grabara, Kenan Yıldız, Manuel Locatelli, Pape Matar Sarr and Weston McKennie through injury. Celta are without Fer López, Iago Aspas and Jones El-Abdellaoui through injury, and Óscar Mingueza is suspended. The model favours Juventus, but these probabilities leave a lot of room for other results, including a Celta win or a draw.

Celta de Vigo Form

Oct 25 Real Betis 0 - 0 D
Oct 22 Celtic 2 - 1 W
Oct 18 Deportivo Alavés 2 - 1 W
Oct 15 Juventus 1 - 2 L
Oct 11 Elche 0 - 0 D

Juventus Form

Oct 28 Genoa 0 - 2 L
Oct 25 Lecce 2 - 0 W
Oct 22 Rennes 2 - 2 D
Oct 18 Lazio 0 - 3 L
Oct 15 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 W

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Celta de Vigo Juventus
1.21
xG per match
2.47
1.04
xG against
1.22
16.7
Shots per match
15.7
52.3
Possession, %
51.7
3
Goals this season
9
66.67
Both teams scored, %
66.67
66.67
Over 2.5, %
100