Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

Celta de Vigo

Union Saint-Gilloise

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC

Abanca-Balaídos

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 46% 14 bookmakers Model 49%

Probability Distribution Home (27%) / Draw (24%) / Away (49%)

Union Saint-Gilloise win (2) 49%

3.44 OddScore Pick

Celta de Vigo win (1) 27%

2.11

Draw (X) 24%

3.82

Probability Distribution Yes — 56% | No — 44%

Both teams to score — Yes 56%

1.61

Both teams to score — No 44%

2.38

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 56% | Under — 44%

Over 2.5 goals 56%

1.71

Under 2.5 goals 44%

2.24

Both teams to score Yes — 56% vs No — 44% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 56% vs Under — 44% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 49% | Market: 29% +70.9% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Union Saint-Gilloise win in this fixture, with a confidence of 49%. Celta de Vigo come into this one having taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.21 expected goals for and 1.04 against.

Union Saint-Gilloise arrive with 2-2-1 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. At the current price of 3.44 that leaves a 70.9% edge over the market.

Celta de Vigo Form

Oct 25 Real Betis 0 - 0 D

Oct 22 Celtic 2 - 1 W

Oct 18 Deportivo Alavés 2 - 1 W

Oct 15 Juventus 1 - 2 L

Oct 11 Elche 0 - 0 D

Union Saint-Gilloise Form

Oct 22 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 4 - 0 W

Oct 15 Real Sociedad 1 - 1 D

Sep 17 Viktoria Plzeň 3 - 0 W

Aug 11 Bodø / Glimt 2 - 3 L

Aug 4 Bodø / Glimt 3 - 3 D

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Celta de Vigo Union Saint-Gilloise

1.21

xG per match

2.62

1.04

xG against

0.83

16.7

Shots per match

22.3

52.3

Possession, %

48.7

Goals this season

66.67

Both teams scored, %

33.33

66.67

Over 2.5, %

66.67