Celtic vs Beşiktaş Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4
Celtic
Celtic
versus
Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC Celtic Park

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 42% 14 bookmakers Model 43%
Probability Distribution Home (43%) / Draw (22%) / Away (35%)
Celtic win (1) 43%
3.00 OddScore Pick
Beşiktaş win (2) 35%
2.31
Draw (X) 22%
3.82
Probability Distribution Yes — 65% | No — 35%
Both teams to score — Yes 65%
1.57
Both teams to score — No 35%
2.55
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 66% | Under — 34%
Over 2.5 goals 66%
1.69
Under 2.5 goals 34%
2.35
Both teams to score Yes — 65% vs No — 35% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 66% vs Under — 34% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 43% | Market: 32% +33.3% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Celtic win in this fixture, with a confidence of 43%. Celtic come into this one having taken 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.22 expected goals for and 1.88 against.

Beşiktaş arrive with 3-1-1 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. At the current price of 3.00 that leaves a 33.3% edge over the market.

Celtic Form

Oct 22 Celta de Vigo 1 - 2 L
Oct 15 Benfica 1 - 4 L
Sep 17 Ferencvárosi 1 - 3 L
Aug 25 LASK 1 - 5 L
Aug 19 LASK 3 - 0 W

Beşiktaş Form

Oct 22 Crystal Palace 2 - 2 D
Oct 15 TSG Hoffenheim 3 - 2 W
Sep 17 Olympique Marseille 4 - 1 W
Aug 27 Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 1 L
Aug 20 Kauno Žalgiris 3 - 0 W

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Celtic Beşiktaş
1.22
xG per match
1.72
1.88
xG against
0.68
12.7
Shots per match
16.5
51.3
Possession, %
61
3
Goals this season
17
100
Both teams scored, %
33.33
100
Over 2.5, %
44.44