Como vs Roma Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 6
Como
Como
versus
Roma
Roma
Sunday, 11 October 2026 — 10:30 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 41% 18 bookmakers Model 46%
Probability Distribution Home (46%) / Draw (25%) / Away (28%)
Como win (1) 46%
2.42 OddScore Pick
Roma win (2) 28%
3.14
Draw (X) 25%
3.66
Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%
Both teams to score — Yes 57%
1.50
Both teams to score — No 43%
2.80
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%
Over 2.5 goals 54%
1.66
Under 2.5 goals 46%
2.44
Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 46% | Market: 41% +14.2% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Como host Roma in Round 6 of Serie A with the model leaning towards the home side, though not decisively. Como are given a 46.49% chance of winning, against 25.41% for a draw and 28.1% for a Roma win. The bookmaker prices are 2.63 for Como, 3.75 for the draw and 2.75 for Roma. Roma lead the table in first place after five matches with four wins and a draw, and a goal record of 14 scored and 3 conceded. Como sit eighth with three wins, one draw and one defeat, and have scored 9 and conceded 6.

On goals, the model puts the chance of both teams scoring at 56.48%, and of over 2.5 goals at 53.67%. Over 1.5 goals is rated at 77.26%, while over 3.5 stands at 31.3% and over 4.5 at 17.99%. The recent form numbers point in slightly different directions. Como have seen both teams score in 80% of their games and over 2.5 goals in 60%. Roma's matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases but both teams scoring in only 40%, which reflects how rarely they have conceded.

The recent head-to-head favours Como slightly. They won 2:1 in March 2026 and 2:0 in December 2024, while Roma won 1:0 in December 2025 and 2:1 in March 2025. Squad availability may matter a great deal. Como are without several players through suspension, including Adrian Lahdo, Assane Diao, Edoardo Goldaniga, Jayden Addai, Mauro Vigorito, Maxence Caqueret and Willy Kambwala, and Paolo Faragò is injured. Roma are missing Devyne Rensch, Evan Ferguson and Renato Marin through injury. None of this guarantees any result. The figures describe probabilities, and Roma's strong start keeps the outcome open.

Como Form

Oct 27 Torino 3 - 1 W
Oct 24 Sassuolo 2 - 0 W
Oct 21 Manchester United 4 - 1 W
Oct 18 Fiorentina 3 - 1 W
Oct 14 Feyenoord 2 - 3 L

Roma Form

Oct 27 Cagliari 4 - 2 W
Oct 24 Napoli 3 - 3 D
Oct 20 Slovan Bratislava 4 - 0 W
Oct 17 Genoa 2 - 0 W
Oct 14 Real Madrid 3 - 4 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Mar 15, 2026 Como 2 - 1 Roma Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Dec 15, 2025 Roma 1 - 0 Como Stadio Olimpico
Mar 2, 2025 Roma 2 - 1 Como Stadio Olimpico
Dec 15, 2024 Como 2 - 0 Roma Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Como Roma
1.88
xG per match
2.26
1.4
xG against
1.29
20.3
Shots per match
19
61.7
Possession, %
56.8
17
Goals this season
23
66.67
Both teams scored, %
44.44
55.56
Over 2.5, %
66.67