Como vs Sassuolo Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 8
Como
Como
versus
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Saturday, 24 October 2026 — 13:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 64% 17 bookmakers Model 62%
Probability Distribution Home (62%) / Draw (22%) / Away (16%)
Como win (1) 62%
1.52 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 22%
5.25
Sassuolo win (2) 16%
6.50
Probability Distribution No — 50% | Yes — 50%
Both teams to score — No 50%
2.63
Both teams to score — Yes 50%
1.50
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 53% | Under — 47%
Over 2.5 goals 53%
1.41
Under 2.5 goals 47%
3.20
Both teams to score Yes — 50% vs No — 50% No
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 53% vs Under — 47% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 62% | Market: 64% -4.0% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Como host Sassuolo in round 8 of Serie A, and the model makes the home side clear favourites. It gives Como a 62.61% chance of winning, with 22.06% for a draw and 15.36% for an away win. The best bookmaker prices, 1.56 for the home win, 4.8 for the draw and 6.23 for Sassuolo, point the same way. Como are fifth after seven matches, with four wins, two draws and one defeat and a goal difference of 12 scored to 7 conceded. Sassuolo sit 13th with two wins, two draws and three defeats, and have scored 12 and conceded 14.

Last season's meetings were split. Como won 2:0 at home on 2025-11-28, and Sassuolo won 2:1 on 2026-04-17. Both sides have availability problems. Como list ten players as unavailable: Adrian Lahdo, Edoardo Goldaniga, Jayden Addai, Mauro Vigorito, Maxence Caqueret and Willy Kambwala are suspended, while Assane Diao, Jesús Rodríguez, Paolo Faragò and Trevoh Chalobah are injured. Sassuolo are without five injured players: Cristian Volpato, Darryl Bakola, Fedde Leysen, Ismaël Koné and Jay Idzes. Como's list is longer, but the model still rates them well ahead.

The goals markets look fairly balanced. The model gives 53.3% for over 2.5 goals and 46.7% for under, and 49.88% for both teams to score against 50.12% for no. Over 1.5 goals is rated at 76.19%, and over 3.5 at 30.11%. Sassuolo's matches have been open: both teams have scored in all seven of them, and 85.71% have gone over 2.5 goals. Como's figures are lower, at 71.43% for both teams scoring and 57.14% for over 2.5. These are probabilities, not certainties, and a favourite with 62.61% still fails to win in over a third of cases.

Como Form

Oct 27 Torino 3 - 1 W
Oct 24 Sassuolo 2 - 0 W
Oct 21 Manchester United 4 - 1 W
Oct 18 Fiorentina 3 - 1 W
Oct 14 Feyenoord 2 - 3 L

Sassuolo Form

Oct 27 Lazio 2 - 6 L
Oct 24 Como 0 - 2 L
Oct 16 Frosinone 2 - 4 L
Oct 11 AC Milan 1 - 1 D
Sep 18 Monza 1 - 2 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 17, 2026 Sassuolo 2 - 1 Como MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Nov 28, 2025 Como 2 - 0 Sassuolo Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Como Sassuolo
1.88
xG per match
1.39
1.4
xG against
1.74
20.3
Shots per match
14.1
61.7
Possession, %
47.1
17
Goals this season
14
66.67
Both teams scored, %
88.89
55.56
Over 2.5, %
77.78