Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 8

Crystal Palace

Newcastle United

Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 14:00 UTC

Selhurst Park

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 36% 17 bookmakers Model 42%

Probability Distribution Home (42%) / Draw (24%) / Away (34%)

Crystal Palace win (1) 42%

2.92 OddScore Pick

Newcastle United win (2) 34%

2.73

Draw (X) 24%

3.73

Probability Distribution Yes — 61% | No — 39%

Both teams to score — Yes 61%

1.55

Both teams to score — No 39%

2.62

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 59% | Under — 41%

Over 2.5 goals 59%

1.72

Under 2.5 goals 41%

2.37

Both teams to score Yes — 61% vs No — 39% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 59% vs Under — 41% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 42% | Market: 36% +15.0% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Crystal Palace win in this fixture, with a confidence of 42%. Crystal Palace come into this one having taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.24 expected goals for and 2.07 against.

Newcastle United arrive with 2-0-3 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. At the current price of 2.92 that leaves a 15% edge over the market.

Crystal Palace Form

Oct 25 Newcastle United 0 - 2 L

Oct 22 Beşiktaş 2 - 2 D

Oct 18 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 5 L

Oct 15 Olympique Lyonnais 2 - 3 L

Oct 11 Nottingham Forest 3 - 1 W

Newcastle United Form

Oct 25 Crystal Palace 2 - 0 W

Oct 17 Aston Villa 0 - 1 L

Oct 12 Coventry City 1 - 4 L

Sep 19 Hull City 2 - 1 W

Sep 14 Leeds United 1 - 4 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Apr 12, 2026 Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Newcastle United Selhurst Park

Jan 4, 2026 Newcastle United 2 - 0 Crystal Palace St. James' Park

Apr 16, 2025 Newcastle United 5 - 0 Crystal Palace St. James' Park

Nov 30, 2024 Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle United Selhurst Park

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Crystal Palace Newcastle United

1.24

xG per match

1.21

2.07

xG against

1.88

Shots per match

11.9

44.5

Possession, %

50.8

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

62.5

Over 2.5, %

62.5