Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 4

Crystal Palace

TSG Hoffenheim

Thursday, 5 November 2026 — 17:45 UTC

Selhurst Park

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 49% 14 bookmakers Model 43%

Probability Distribution Home (34%) / Draw (23%) / Away (43%)

TSG Hoffenheim win (2) 43%

3.74 OddScore Pick

Crystal Palace win (1) 34%

1.95

Draw (X) 23%

4.00

Probability Distribution Yes — 60% | No — 41%

Both teams to score — Yes 60%

1.53

Both teams to score — No 41%

2.55

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 60% | Under — 40%

Over 2.5 goals 60%

1.57

Under 2.5 goals 40%

2.50

Both teams to score Yes — 60% vs No — 41% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 60% vs Under — 40% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 43% | Market: 26% +66.7% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an TSG Hoffenheim win in this fixture, with a confidence of 43%. Crystal Palace come into this one having taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.67 expected goals for and 1.53 against.

TSG Hoffenheim arrive with 3-0-2 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. At the current price of 3.74 that leaves a 66.7% edge over the market.

Crystal Palace Form

Oct 25 Newcastle United 0 - 2 L

Oct 22 Beşiktaş 2 - 2 D

Oct 18 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 5 L

Oct 15 Olympique Lyonnais 2 - 3 L

Oct 11 Nottingham Forest 3 - 1 W

TSG Hoffenheim Form

Oct 25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 - 0 W

Oct 22 Olympique Lyonnais 3 - 0 W

Oct 18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 1 W

Oct 15 Beşiktaş 2 - 3 L

Oct 10 Hamburger SV 2 - 3 L

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Crystal Palace TSG Hoffenheim

1.67

xG per match

1.72

1.53

xG against

1.45

Shots per match

18.3

Possession, %

54.7

Goals this season

66.67

Both teams scored, %

33.33

100

Over 2.5, %

66.67