Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 9
Deportivo A Coruña
Deportivo A Coruña
versus
Levante
Levante
Friday, 16 October 2026 — 19:00 UTC Estadio Abanca-Riazor

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 46% 18 bookmakers Model 47%
Probability Distribution Home (47%) / Draw (26%) / Away (26%)
Deportivo A Coruña win (1) 47%
2.19 OddScore Pick
Levante win (2) 26%
3.70
Draw (X) 26%
3.64
Probability Distribution Yes — 51% | No — 49%
Both teams to score — Yes 51%
1.67
Both teams to score — No 49%
2.15
Probability Distribution Under — 52% | Over 2.5 — 48%
Under 2.5 goals 52%
2.06
Over 2.5 goals 48%
1.96
Both teams to score Yes — 51% vs No — 49% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 48% vs Under — 52% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 47% | Market: 46% +3.3% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Deportivo A Coruña host Levante in Round 9 of La Liga, with kick-off set for 19:00 UTC on 16 October 2026. The model makes the home side the favourite, giving Deportivo a 47.48% chance of winning, against 26.01% for a draw and 26.45% for a Levante victory. The best available bookmaker prices (2.17 home, 3.62 draw, 3.64 away) point the same way, with Deportivo as the most likely winner but far from certain.

The form tables support that ordering. Deportivo sit eighth after eight matches, with two wins, four draws and two defeats and a goal record of 12 scored and 11 conceded. Levante are 17th after seven matches, with one win, three draws and three defeats, and have scored 11 and conceded 15. Deportivo's last-line absences are a concern, since Marc Casadó, Noé Carrillo, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Zakaria Eddahchouri are all injured. Levante are also short of options, with Álex Primo, Hugo Sotelo, Karl Etta Eyong and Unai Elgezabal unavailable.

On goals, the model puts the chance of both teams scoring at 51.08%, against 48.92% for at least one side failing to score. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 48.06% and under 2.5 at 51.94%, so the model sees a near coin-flip on that line. Over 1.5 goals is more likely at 72.69%, while over 3.5 stands at 25.9%. The season trends differ between the sides. Both teams have scored in 87.5% of Deportivo's matches, but only 37.5% of them have gone over 2.5 goals. Levante's matches have gone over 2.5 goals 71.43% of the time, with both teams scoring in 57.14% of them. These are probabilities from a small sample of matches, not guarantees, and the result could still go either way.

Deportivo A Coruña Form

Oct 24 Atlético de Madrid 0 - 1 L
Oct 16 Levante 1 - 1 D
Oct 11 Real Sociedad 2 - 3 L
Sep 20 Real Betis 1 - 1 D
Sep 16 Sevilla 0 - 1 L

Levante Form

Oct 25 Real Sociedad 1 - 2 L
Oct 21 Athletic Club 3 - 1 W
Oct 16 Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 1 D
Oct 12 Sevilla 3 - 3 D
Sep 20 Villarreal 1 - 3 L

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Deportivo A Coruña Levante
1.35
xG per match
1.29
1.21
xG against
1.93
12
Shots per match
11.3
47.7
Possession, %
42.7
13
Goals this season
16
80
Both teams scored, %
70
30
Over 2.5, %
70