Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Deportivo Alavés host Málaga in Round 10 of La Liga, and the model leans toward the home side without making them clear favourites. It gives Alavés a 41.13% chance of winning, the draw 25.52% and Málaga 33.35%. The bookmaker prices (1.84 home, 3.73 draw, 5.25 away) also make Alavés the favourite. The model rates Málaga's chances higher than the 5.25 away price suggests.

The form tables show a clear gap. Alavés sit seventh after nine matches, with three wins, two draws and four defeats and a goal record of 13 scored and 10 conceded. Málaga are 20th, still without a win from nine games. They have four draws and five defeats, with 6 goals scored and 18 conceded. Their defence has been the main problem, and the attack has also been short of goals. Both sides have been involved in matches where both teams scored in 55.56% of their games. Alavés have seen over 2.5 goals in 55.56% of their matches, against 33.33% for Málaga.

On goals, the model puts both teams scoring at 57.68% and no at 42.32%. It gives over 2.5 goals 53.61% and under 46.39%. Over 1.5 goals is rated at 76.51%, over 3.5 at 31.72% and over 4.5 at 18.25%. Alavés will be without Abde Rebbach, Joan Jordán, Mikel Rodriguez and Ville Koski through injury, and Ángel Pérez and Facundo Garcés through suspension. Málaga have eight players unavailable through injury: Aarón Ochoa, Adam Aznou, Diego Murillo, Fernando Calero, Jens Cajuste, Julen Lobete, Luismi Sánchez and Rafa Rodríguez. These figures describe probabilities, not certainties, and either side could get a different result.