Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 2
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
versus
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Thursday, 15 October 2026 — 19:00 UTC Stadion Maksimir

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 50% 18 bookmakers Model 56%
Probability Distribution Home (56%) / Draw (21%) / Away (24%)
Dinamo Zagreb win (1) 56%
2.03 OddScore Pick
Anderlecht win (2) 24%
4.16
Draw (X) 21%
3.85
Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%
Both teams to score — Yes 57%
1.65
Both teams to score — No 43%
2.25
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 63% | Under — 37%
Over 2.5 goals 63%
1.75
Under 2.5 goals 37%
2.21
Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 63% vs Under — 37% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 56% | Market: 50% +11.5% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Dinamo Zagreb host Anderlecht in the second round of the Europa League, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC on 15 October 2026. The model rates the home side as the more likely winner, at 55.95%. It gives the draw 20.52% and an Anderlecht win 23.53%. The best available bookmaker prices, 2.05 for the home win, 3.7 for the draw and 3.8 for the away side, point the same way. The model's home figure sits above the probability those odds imply, but any such gap is an estimate and not a certainty.

The form data is lopsided. Anderlecht have played seven matches this season, with five wins, one draw and one defeat, and a goal record of 15 scored and 6 conceded. They are fourth in their league. Both teams scored in 57.14% of those games and more than 2.5 goals came in 71.43%. Dinamo Zagreb have played only once, a 0-0 draw, so their sample is too small to say much. Their league position is listed as 45, which should be read with caution given that single match.

On goals, the model gives 57.4% for both teams scoring and 42.6% for at least one side failing to score. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62.55% and under 2.5 at 37.45%. Over 3.5 goals comes in at 40.7%, and over 4.5 at 26.85%. Anderlecht are missing several players. Ali Maamar, Amadou Diawara and Ilias Koutsoupias are suspended. Cedric Hatenboer, Ilay Camara, Killian Sardella, Lucas Hey, Lukas Ambros and Moussa Ndiaye are injured. Dinamo Zagreb are without the injured Bruno Petkovic. Anderlecht's long absence list may weigh on them, but a probability is not a promise, and the result can still go either way.

Dinamo Zagreb Form

Oct 22 NEC Nijmegen 2 - 4 L
Oct 15 Anderlecht 1 - 0 W
Sep 16 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0 - 0 D
Aug 26 Viking 1 - 3 L
Aug 18 Viking 2 - 2 D

Anderlecht Form

Oct 22 Jagiellonia Białystok 3 - 0 W
Oct 15 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1 L
Sep 16 Olympique Lyonnais 1 - 2 L
Aug 27 Kairat 3 - 0 W
Aug 20 Kairat 3 - 0 W

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Dinamo Zagreb Anderlecht
1.74
xG per match
1.51
1.19
xG against
1.18
12
Shots per match
12.5
46
Possession, %
57.2
3
Goals this season
18
33.33
Both teams scored, %
44.44
33.33
Over 2.5, %
66.67