Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 6
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
versus
FC Köln
FC Köln
Friday, 16 October 2026 — 18:30 UTC Deutsche Bank Park

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 52% 18 bookmakers Model 44%
Probability Distribution Home (44%) / Draw (25%) / Away (31%)
Eintracht Frankfurt win (1) 44%
1.99 OddScore Pick
FC Köln win (2) 31%
4.00
Draw (X) 25%
4.37
Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%
Both teams to score — Yes 55%
1.35
Both teams to score — No 45%
3.40
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%
Over 2.5 goals 54%
1.33
Under 2.5 goals 46%
3.50
Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 44% | Market: 52% -14.9% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Eintracht Frankfurt host FC Köln in Bundesliga round 6, with kick-off at 18:30 UTC on 16 October 2026. The model gives Frankfurt a 44.17% chance of winning, the draw 25.3% and Köln 30.53%. Frankfurt are the favourites, but the gap is moderate. Frankfurt sit 14th after five matches, with one win, two draws and two defeats and a goal record of 9:16. Köln are 10th with two wins, one draw and two defeats, and a goal record of 8:10.

Goals look likely. The model puts both teams scoring at 55.34% and over 2.5 goals at 54.24%. Over 1.5 goals is at 75.79%, while over 3.5 is at 33.65% and over 4.5 at 20.59%. Recent form points the same way. Köln have seen both teams score in 100% of their games and over 2.5 goals in 80%. For Frankfurt the figures are 80% and 100%. The last two meetings were open as well: Frankfurt won 4:3 away at Köln on 22 November 2025, and the sides drew 2:2 on 5 April 2026.

Both squads have long absence lists. Frankfurt are without Ansgar Knauff, Hugo Larsson, Jessic Ngankam, Malik Pimpong, Nnamdi Collins, Noel Aseko, Oscar Højlund, Ritsu Doan and Timothy Chandler, all injured. Köln are missing Gil Neves through suspension, plus the injured Luca Kilian, Luca Waldschmidt, Malek El Mala, Said El Mala, Sebastian Sebulonsen, Thijs Dallinga and Timo Hübers. These figures are probabilities, not guarantees, and a match with this many absences can be hard to predict.

Eintracht Frankfurt Form

Oct 24 Borussia Dortmund 0 - 1 L
Oct 16 FC Köln 1 - 0 W
Oct 10 RB Leipzig 0 - 6 L
Sep 19 SC Freiburg 2 - 2 D
Sep 12 FSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 W

FC Köln Form

Oct 24 Schalke 04 0 - 0 D
Oct 16 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 1 L
Oct 11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 1 W
Sep 19 Hamburger SV 1 - 2 L
Sep 12 Werder Bremen 1 - 1 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 5, 2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2 FC Köln Deutsche Bank Park
Nov 22, 2025 FC Köln 3 - 4 Eintracht Frankfurt RheinEnergieStadion

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Eintracht Frankfurt FC Köln
1.51
xG per match
1.61
2.14
xG against
1.66
13.7
Shots per match
16
50
Possession, %
50.3
10
Goals this season
8
57.14
Both teams scored, %
71.43
71.43
Over 2.5, %
57.14