Elversberg vs FC Augsburg Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Elversberg host FC Augsburg in round 6 of the Bundesliga, with kick-off set for 13:30 UTC on 17 October 2026. The model gives the home side a slight edge: 41.98% for an Elversberg win, 23.94% for a draw and 34.04% for an Augsburg win. The bookmaker prices are close to that picture, with the best available odds at 2.55 for the hosts, 4.00 for the draw and 2.71 for the visitors. Elversberg sit ninth after five matches, with two wins, one draw and two defeats and a goal difference of 8:8. Augsburg are sixth with two wins, two draws and one defeat, having scored 13 and conceded 8.

Goals look likely on both sides of the ball. The model puts the chance of both teams scoring at 64.49%, and the chance of more than 2.5 goals at 65.13%. It gives 84.6% for over 1.5 goals, 43.73% for over 3.5 and 27.52% for over 4.5. The form data points the same way. Augsburg have seen both teams score in 80% of their matches this season and more than 2.5 goals in all of them. Elversberg's figures are lower, at 60% for both teams scoring and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Squad availability is a factor for both teams. Elversberg are without Luis Seifert, Manuel Feil and Tom Zimmerschied through injury, and Lukas Pinckert is suspended. Augsburg have six injured players: Anton Kade, Faik Sakar, Reece Oxford, Sima Suso, Steve Mounié and Tim Breithaupt. The numbers describe a fairly open match with a modest home lean, but they are probabilities and not guarantees. A draw or an away win remains well within the range of likely results.