Everton vs Coventry City Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 10
Everton
Everton
versus
Coventry City
Coventry City
Friday, 6 November 2026 — 20:00 UTC Hill Dickinson Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 56% 12 bookmakers Model 45%
Probability Distribution Home (45%) / Draw (25%) / Away (30%)
Everton win (1) 45%
1.74 OddScore Pick
Coventry City win (2) 30%
4.93
Draw (X) 25%
4.16
Probability Distribution Yes — 54% | No — 46%
Both teams to score — Yes 54%
1.75
Both teams to score — No 46%
2.00
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 52% | Under — 48%
Over 2.5 goals 52%
1.72
Under 2.5 goals 48%
2.10
Both teams to score Yes — 54% vs No — 46% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 52% vs Under — 48% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 45% | Market: 56% -18.4% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Everton win in this fixture, with a confidence of 45%. Everton come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.18 expected goals for and 1.51 against.

Coventry City arrive with 2-0-3 across their own last 5. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. At the current price of 1.74 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Everton Form

Oct 24 Arsenal 0 - 2 L
Oct 17 Chelsea 0 - 2 L
Oct 11 Hull City 2 - 2 D
Sep 19 Ipswich Town 1 - 0 W
Sep 12 Tottenham Hotspur 0 - 0 D

Coventry City Form

Oct 24 Fulham 0 - 1 L
Oct 19 Tottenham Hotspur 1 - 3 L
Oct 12 Newcastle United 4 - 1 W
Sep 19 Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 W
Sep 13 Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 5 L

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Everton Coventry City
1.18
xG per match
0.94
1.51
xG against
1.56
13.6
Shots per match
10.6
46.5
Possession, %
37.3
8
Goals this season
6
37.5
Both teams scored, %
25
25
Over 2.5, %
50