FC Augsburg vs FC Union Berlin Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 7
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
versus
FC Union Berlin
FC Union Berlin
Saturday, 24 October 2026 — 13:30 UTC WWK Arena

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 54% 17 bookmakers Model 46%
Probability Distribution Home (46%) / Draw (26%) / Away (29%)
FC Augsburg win (1) 46%
1.88 OddScore Pick
FC Union Berlin win (2) 29%
4.50
Draw (X) 26%
4.35
Probability Distribution Yes — 55% | No — 45%
Both teams to score — Yes 55%
1.45
Both teams to score — No 45%
2.80
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%
Over 2.5 goals 54%
1.48
Under 2.5 goals 46%
2.79
Both teams to score Yes — 55% vs No — 45% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 46% | Market: 54% -15.2% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

FC Augsburg host FC Union Berlin in round 7 of the Bundesliga, and the model gives the home side the edge. It puts Augsburg at 45.68% to win, the draw at 25.6% and an away win at 28.72%. Augsburg sit 10th after six games, with two wins, two draws and two defeats and a goal difference of 16 scored to 12 conceded. Union Berlin are 17th with one win, two draws and three defeats, and have scored 5 and conceded 17. The bookmaker prices (1.89 for the home win, 4.26 for the draw, 4.01 for the away win) also make Augsburg the favourites.

Goals look likely to feature, mainly because of Augsburg's matches. All six of their games this season have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in 83.33% of them. Union's profile is different: both teams scored in 33.33% of their games, and 66.67% went over 2.5. The model puts both teams scoring at 55.36% and over 2.5 goals at 54.09%. It gives over 1.5 goals 76.88% and over 3.5 goals 32.01%, and puts over 4.5 goals at 18.61%. Union's low scoring and Augsburg's open games pull in opposite directions, so the model lands in between.

The head-to-head record is mixed. Union won the most recent meeting 4:0 on 2026-05-16. Before that came a 1:1 draw at Augsburg, a 2:1 away win for Union in May 2025 and a 2:0 win for Augsburg in January 2025. Both sides have long injury lists, with nine players out for Augsburg and eleven for Union. These absences add uncertainty to any forecast. The probabilities describe likelihoods, not a certain result.

FC Augsburg Form

Oct 24 FC Union Berlin 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Elversberg 3 - 4 L
Oct 10 FC Bayern München 2 - 2 D
Sep 19 Werder Bremen 2 - 3 L
Sep 12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 2 D

FC Union Berlin Form

Oct 24 FC Augsburg 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Borussia Dortmund 0 - 0 D
Oct 10 Elversberg 1 - 0 W
Sep 18 FC Bayern München 0 - 7 L
Sep 11 Schalke 04 1 - 3 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
May 16, 2026 FC Union Berlin 4 - 0 FC Augsburg Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Jan 15, 2026 FC Augsburg 1 - 1 FC Union Berlin WWK Arena
May 17, 2025 FC Augsburg 1 - 2 FC Union Berlin WWK Arena
Jan 15, 2025 FC Union Berlin 0 - 2 FC Augsburg Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Key Stats & Team Metrics

FC Augsburg FC Union Berlin
2.11
xG per match
1.29
2.86
xG against
2.03
17.4
Shots per match
12
44.9
Possession, %
42.4
17
Goals this season
6
85.71
Both teams scored, %
42.86
85.71
Over 2.5, %
57.14