FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 11
FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona
versus
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés
Saturday, 31 October 2026 — 20:00 UTC Spotify Camp Nou

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 86% 17 bookmakers Model 78%
Probability Distribution Home (78%) / Draw (15%) / Away (7%)
FC Barcelona win (1) 78%
1.13 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 15%
11.50
Deportivo Alavés win (2) 7%
23.00
Probability Distribution No — 60% | Yes — 40%
Both teams to score — No 60%
1.95
Both teams to score — Yes 40%
1.90
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 59% | Under — 41%
Over 2.5 goals 59%
1.24
Under 2.5 goals 41%
4.50
Both teams to score Yes — 40% vs No — 60% No
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 59% vs Under — 41% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 78% | Market: 86% -9.1% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

FC Barcelona host Deportivo Alavés in La Liga round 11 on 31 October 2026. Barcelona lead the league after 10 matches with nine wins and one defeat, scoring 40 goals and conceding 11. Alavés are seventh with three wins, three draws and four defeats, with 14 goals scored and 11 conceded. Their season records both show 60% of matches with goals from both teams, while Barcelona have gone over 2.5 goals in 90% of their matches compared with 50% for Alavés.

The model gives Barcelona a 78.35% probability of winning, with 15% for a draw and 6.67% for an Alavés victory. It assigns a 59.41% probability to over 2.5 goals and 59.58% to both teams not scoring. The recent head-to-head record is mixed: Alavés won 1-0 in May 2026, while Barcelona won the previous two meetings at home and also won 3-0 away in October 2024. Barcelona are without Andreas Christensen, Dani Olmo, Eric García, Frenkie de Jong, Joan García, Jules Koundé, Raphinha and Roony Bardghji. Alavés will be without Abde Rebbach, Ángel Pérez, Facundo Garcés, Joan Jordán, Mikel Rodriguez and Ville Koski.

FC Barcelona Form

Oct 25 Real Madrid 1 - 2 L
Oct 20 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 4 L
Oct 17 Real Betis 5 - 2 W
Oct 13 Galatasaray 4 - 1 W
Oct 10 Getafe 3 - 0 W

Deportivo Alavés Form

Oct 23 Málaga 1 - 1 D
Oct 18 Celta de Vigo 1 - 2 L
Oct 10 Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 L
Sep 19 Athletic Club 0 - 0 D
Sep 15 Valencia 0 - 1 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
May 13, 2026 Deportivo Alavés 1 - 0 FC Barcelona Estadio de Mendizorroza
Nov 29, 2025 FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Deportivo Alavés Camp Nou
Feb 2, 2025 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Deportivo Alavés Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys
Oct 6, 2024 Deportivo Alavés 0 - 3 FC Barcelona Estadio de Mendizorroza

Key Stats & Team Metrics

FC Barcelona Deportivo Alavés
3.1
xG per match
1.18
0.97
xG against
1.21
20.9
Shots per match
13.3
69.3
Possession, %
42.9
40
Goals this season
14
60
Both teams scored, %
60
90
Over 2.5, %
50