FC Barcelona win (1)
61%
1.67
OddScore Pick
61%
FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Tips
La Liga
• Round 10
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid
Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 20:00 UTC
Spotify Camp Nou
Spotify Camp Nou
AI Prediction Markets
Market average
60%
17 bookmakers
Model
61%
61%
Probability Distribution
Home (61%) / Draw (18%) / Away (21%)
Real Madrid win (2)
21%
4.25
Draw (X)
18%
6.25
Probability Distribution
Yes — 69% | No — 31%
Both teams to score — Yes
69%
1.28
Both teams to score — No
31%
3.96
Probability Distribution
Over 2.5 — 77% | Under — 23%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
1.20
Under 2.5 goals
23%
6.00
Yes
Over
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Our model leans towards a FC Barcelona win in this fixture, with a confidence of 61%. FC Barcelona come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 3.1 expected goals for and 0.97 against.
Real Madrid arrive with 5-0-0 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 77%. At the current price of 1.67 that leaves a 1.1% edge over the market.
FC Barcelona Form
Oct 25
Real Madrid
1 - 2
L
Oct 20
Paris Saint Germain
2 - 4
L
Oct 17
Real Betis
5 - 2
W
Oct 13
Galatasaray
4 - 1
W
Oct 10
Getafe
3 - 0
W
Real Madrid Form
Oct 25
FC Barcelona
2 - 1
W
Oct 21
RB Leipzig
4 - 1
W
Oct 18
Sevilla
4 - 1
W
Oct 14
Roma
4 - 3
W
Oct 10
Villarreal
1 - 0
W
Head to Head History
DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
May 10, 2026
FC Barcelona
2 - 0
Real Madrid
Camp Nou
Oct 26, 2025
Real Madrid
2 - 1
FC Barcelona
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
May 11, 2025
FC Barcelona
4 - 3
Real Madrid
Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys
Oct 26, 2024
Real Madrid
0 - 4
FC Barcelona
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Key Stats & Team Metrics
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid
3.1
xG per match
2.1
0.97
xG against
1.18
20.9
Shots per match
16.8
69.3
Possession, %
51.7
40
Goals this season
25
60
Both teams scored, %
70
90
Over 2.5, %
80