FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjällby Prediction & Tips

Europa Conference League • Round 2
FC Iberia 1999
FC Iberia 1999
versus
Mjällby
Mjällby
Thursday, 22 October 2026 — 16:45 UTC Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 37% 15 bookmakers Model 38%
Probability Distribution Home (37%) / Draw (25%) / Away (38%)
Mjällby win (2) 38%
2.62 OddScore Pick
FC Iberia 1999 win (1) 37%
3.11
Draw (X) 25%
3.45
Probability Distribution Yes — 56% | No — 44%
Both teams to score — Yes 56%
1.82
Both teams to score — No 44%
2.02
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%
Over 2.5 goals 54%
2.06
Under 2.5 goals 46%
1.84
Both teams to score Yes — 56% vs No — 44% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 38% | Market: 37% +1.7% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

FC Iberia 1999 host Mjällby in round 2 of the Europa Conference League, and the model sees a very tight contest. Mjällby are a marginal favourite at 38.14%, with FC Iberia 1999 at 37.25% and the draw at 24.61%. The bookmaker prices lean more clearly towards the visitors. Their best away odds are 2.27, against 3.37 for the home side and 3.5 for the draw. The model is therefore noticeably more generous to the hosts than the market is.

Form data is thin, since each side has played only one match this season. FC Iberia 1999 lost, with a goal count of 0:2, and sit 143rd in the league position listing. Mjällby won, with a goal count of 2:0, and are placed 74th. With a single game each, these figures say little and should be treated cautiously. On the team news side, FC Iberia 1999 are without Andria Bartishvili, Lucas Café and Vakho Bedoshvili through injury, while Mjällby will miss the suspended Tony Miettinen.

On goals, the model puts both teams scoring at 55.81%, against 44.19% for no. Over 1.5 goals is rated at 77.22% and over 2.5 at 54.4%, which makes the 2.5 line almost evenly balanced. Over 3.5 drops to 31.95% and over 4.5 to 18.22%. The bookmaker prices for over 2.5 (1.93) and under 2.5 (1.95) are similarly close to even. Overall, this looks like a closely matched fixture with a modest lean towards goals, but these are probabilities and not certainties, and the outcome remains open.

FC Iberia 1999 Form

Oct 22 Mjällby 1 - 1 D
Oct 15 Sint-Truiden 0 - 2 L
Aug 27 Jagiellonia Białystok 1 - 2 L
Aug 20 Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 4 L
Aug 11 Larne 2 - 1 W

Mjällby Form

Oct 22 FC Iberia 1999 1 - 1 D
Oct 15 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 - 0 W
Aug 27 Salzburg 0 - 3 L
Aug 20 Salzburg 0 - 1 L
Aug 11 Slovan Bratislava 0 - 2 L

Key Stats & Team Metrics

FC Iberia 1999 Mjällby
0.65
xG per match
2.09
2.3
xG against
0.78
5.5
Shots per match
18
43
Possession, %
50
1
Goals this season
3
50
Both teams scored, %
50
0
Over 2.5, %
0