FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 9
FC Köln
FC Köln
versus
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sunday, 8 November 2026 — 14:30 UTC RheinEnergieStadion

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 56% 11 bookmakers Model 52%
Probability Distribution Home (25%) / Draw (23%) / Away (52%)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win (2) 52%
1.75 OddScore Pick
FC Köln win (1) 25%
4.51
Draw (X) 23%
4.56
Probability Distribution Yes — 60% | No — 40%
Both teams to score — Yes 60%
1.44
Both teams to score — No 40%
2.62
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 60% | Under — 40%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
1.40
Under 2.5 goals 40%
3.00
Both teams to score Yes — 60% vs No — 40% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 60% vs Under — 40% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 52% | Market: 56% -7.8% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an Bayer 04 Leverkusen win in this fixture, with a confidence of 52%. FC Köln come into this one having taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.61 expected goals for and 1.66 against.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen arrive with 4-0-1 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 1 time. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. At the current price of 1.75 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

FC Köln Form

Oct 24 Schalke 04 0 - 0 D
Oct 16 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 1 L
Oct 11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 1 W
Sep 19 Hamburger SV 1 - 2 L
Sep 12 Werder Bremen 1 - 1 D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

Oct 25 TSG Hoffenheim 0 - 3 L
Oct 22 OFI 2 - 0 W
Oct 18 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 W
Oct 15 Lech Poznań 4 - 0 W
Oct 10 FSV Mainz 05 4 - 3 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Apr 25, 2026 FC Köln 1 - 2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen RheinEnergieStadion
Dec 13, 2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 FC Köln BayArena

Key Stats & Team Metrics

FC Köln Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.61
xG per match
2.06
1.66
xG against
1.5
16
Shots per match
18.1
50.3
Possession, %
57.9
8
Goals this season
16
71.43
Both teams scored, %
57.14
57.14
Over 2.5, %
85.71