FC Köln vs Schalke 04 Prediction & Tips

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

FC Köln host Schalke 04 in round 7 of the Bundesliga, with the model giving a slight edge to the visitors. It puts Schalke at 40.75% to win, Köln at 35.54% and a draw at 23.71%. The best available odds are 2.12 for a Köln win, 3.98 for a draw and 3.43 for a Schalke win. They price Köln as the more likely winner, so the model and the market disagree about which side is favoured.

Both teams have played six matches this season. Köln sit 12th with two wins, one draw and three defeats, and a goal record of 8:11. Schalke are 15th with one win, two draws and three defeats, and have scored 4 and conceded 7. Köln's matches have been the more open ones. Both teams scored in 83.33% of them, against 33.33% for Schalke, and over 2.5 goals came up in 66.67% of Köln's games and 50% of Schalke's.

The model expects a fairly open game. It gives 59.22% for both teams to score and 58.21% for over 2.5 goals. Over 1.5 goals is at 79.72%, over 3.5 at 36.64% and over 4.5 at 22.32%. The bookmaker odds are 1.53 for both teams to score and 1.65 for over 2.5 goals.

Both squads are short of players. Köln are without Ellyes Skhiri, Imad Rondic, Luca Kilian, Luca Waldschmidt, Malek El Mala, Ragnar Ache, Rav van den Berg, Said El Mala, Sebastian Sebulonsen, Thijs Dallinga and Timo Hübers through injury. Gil Neves is suspended. Schalke are missing Adrian Gantenbein, Bryan Lasme, Dejan Ljubicic, Henning Matriciani, Johannes Siebeking, Kenan Karaman, Mika Wallentowitz and Tomas Kalas through injury, and Ron Schallenberg is suspended. These probabilities are estimates, not predictions of a result, and the margins between the outcomes are small.