Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň Prediction & Tips

Europa League • Round 2
Ferencvárosi
Ferencvárosi
versus
Viktoria Plzeň
Viktoria Plzeň
Thursday, 15 October 2026 — 19:00 UTC Groupama Aréna

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 52% 18 bookmakers Model 49%
Probability Distribution Home (49%) / Draw (24%) / Away (27%)
Ferencvárosi win (1) 49%
1.95 OddScore Pick
Viktoria Plzeň win (2) 27%
4.11
Draw (X) 24%
4.01
Probability Distribution Yes — 52% | No — 48%
Both teams to score — Yes 52%
1.62
Both teams to score — No 48%
2.31
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 51% | Under — 49%
Over 2.5 goals 51%
1.66
Under 2.5 goals 49%
2.30
Both teams to score Yes — 52% vs No — 48% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 51% vs Under — 49% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 49% | Market: 52% -6.5% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Ferencvárosi host Viktoria Plzeň in Round 2 of the Europa League, and the model leans toward the home side. It gives Ferencvárosi a 48.55% chance of a win, Plzeň 26.97% and a draw 24.47%. The best available home odds of 1.98 are broadly in line with that estimate. Ferencvárosi arrive in strong form, top of the league table with seven wins and two draws from nine matches and a goal record of 19:6. Plzeň have played three matches, winning one and losing two, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, and they sit 37th in the table.

On goals, the model is close to evenly balanced. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 51.34% and under 2.5 at 48.66%. Over 1.5 goals is rated at 75.02%, while over 3.5 is at 30.09%, so a match with two or three goals looks like the central scenario. Both teams scoring is slightly favoured at 52.37% against 47.63%. The form data points in different directions. Ferencvárosi have seen both teams score in 55.56% of their matches and over 2.5 goals in 66.67%, while all three of Plzeň's matches have gone over 2.5 goals, though both teams scored in only a third of them.

The recent head-to-head record is tight. Ferencvárosi won 1:0 in February 2025, Plzeň won 3:0 later that month, and the most recent meeting, in September 2025, ended 1:1. Team news matters here. Ferencvárosi have a long absentee list of nine players, with suspensions and injuries both represented. Plzeň are missing four players, two suspended and two injured. These absences may narrow the gap the form table suggests, so the home advantage in the model should be read as a probability and not a certainty.

Ferencvárosi Form

Oct 22 Torreense 4 - 1 W
Oct 15 Viktoria Plzeň 2 - 1 W
Sep 17 Celtic 3 - 1 W
Aug 27 Trabzonspor 4 - 0 W
Aug 20 Trabzonspor 1 - 0 W

Viktoria Plzeň Form

Oct 22 Levski Sofia 1 - 2 L
Oct 15 Ferencvárosi 1 - 2 L
Sep 17 Union Saint-Gilloise 0 - 3 L
Aug 27 Crvena Zvezda 5 - 1 W
Aug 20 Crvena Zvezda 0 - 3 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Sep 25, 2025 Ferencvárosi 1 - 1 Viktoria Plzeň Groupama Aréna
Feb 20, 2025 Viktoria Plzeň 3 - 0 Ferencvárosi Doosan Aréna
Feb 13, 2025 Ferencvárosi 1 - 0 Viktoria Plzeň Groupama Aréna

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Ferencvárosi Viktoria Plzeň
2.36
xG per match
2.66
1.21
xG against
1.6
14.7
Shots per match
18.4
47.8
Possession, %
50
25
Goals this season
7
63.64
Both teams scored, %
60
72.73
Over 2.5, %
100