Fulham vs Hull City Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 7
Fulham
Fulham
versus
Hull City
Hull City
Saturday, 17 October 2026 — 14:00 UTC Craven Cottage

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 57% 18 bookmakers Model 53%
Probability Distribution Home (53%) / Draw (23%) / Away (24%)
Fulham win (1) 53%
1.75 OddScore Pick
Hull City win (2) 24%
5.50
Draw (X) 23%
4.20
Probability Distribution Yes — 58% | No — 42%
Both teams to score — Yes 58%
1.75
Both teams to score — No 42%
2.15
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 57% | Under — 43%
Over 2.5 goals 57%
1.81
Under 2.5 goals 43%
2.15
Both teams to score Yes — 58% vs No — 42% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 57% vs Under — 43% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 53% | Market: 57% -8.2% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Fulham host Hull City in Round 7 of the Premier League on 17 October at 14:00 UTC. The table makes this a contrast. Fulham are 20th after six games with no wins, two draws and four defeats, and a goal difference of 6 scored to 10 conceded. Hull City are 8th with two wins, three draws and one defeat, and have scored 8 and conceded 6. Fulham will be without Tom Cairney through injury. Hull have five absentees: Charlie Hughes, Darko Gyabi, Eliot Matazo, Ilyas Ansah and Joe Gelhardt.

Despite that league position, the model still favours the home side. It gives Fulham a 52.65% chance of winning, the draw 23.41% and Hull City 23.93%. The best available bookmaker price on a Fulham win is 1.77, so the market is slightly more confident in the hosts than the model is. A Hull win is priced at 4.93 and a draw at 4.05. Fulham's winless start is a clear caution, since a home win is the most likely single result but far from certain.

On goals, the model sees an open game. Both teams scoring is put at 57.88%, and over 2.5 goals at 56.98%. Over 1.5 goals comes in at 79.59%, and over 3.5 at 34.79%. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in half of their games this season. Fulham have also seen both teams score in 66.67% of their matches, against 50% for Hull. These are probabilities, not guarantees, and the sample of six games each is small.

Fulham Form

Oct 24 Coventry City 1 - 0 W
Oct 17 Hull City 1 - 0 W
Oct 10 Ipswich Town 1 - 2 L
Sep 20 Manchester United 1 - 1 D
Sep 12 Liverpool 0 - 0 D

Hull City Form

Oct 25 Brentford 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Fulham 0 - 1 L
Oct 11 Everton 2 - 2 D
Sep 19 Newcastle United 1 - 2 L
Sep 12 Chelsea 2 - 2 D

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Fulham Hull City
1.53
xG per match
1.05
1.19
xG against
1.54
14.4
Shots per match
10.6
58
Possession, %
32.9
8
Goals this season
9
50
Both teams scored, %
50
37.5
Over 2.5, %
37.5