Fulham vs Newcastle United Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 10
Fulham
Fulham
versus
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
Saturday, 7 November 2026 — 15:00 UTC Craven Cottage

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 42% 11 bookmakers Model 43%
Probability Distribution Home (43%) / Draw (24%) / Away (33%)
Fulham win (1) 43%
2.30 OddScore Pick
Newcastle United win (2) 33%
3.22
Draw (X) 24%
3.84
Probability Distribution Yes — 66% | No — 34%
Both teams to score — Yes 66%
1.57
Both teams to score — No 34%
2.25
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 66% | Under — 34%
Over 2.5 goals 66%
1.66
Under 2.5 goals 34%
2.20
Both teams to score Yes — 66% vs No — 34% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 66% vs Under — 34% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 43% | Market: 42% +2.7% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Fulham win in this fixture, with a confidence of 43%. Fulham come into this one having taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 1.53 expected goals for and 1.19 against.

Newcastle United arrive with 2-0-3 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. At the current price of 2.30 that leaves a 2.7% edge over the market.

Fulham Form

Oct 24 Coventry City 1 - 0 W
Oct 17 Hull City 1 - 0 W
Oct 10 Ipswich Town 1 - 2 L
Sep 20 Manchester United 1 - 1 D
Sep 12 Liverpool 0 - 0 D

Newcastle United Form

Oct 25 Crystal Palace 2 - 0 W
Oct 17 Aston Villa 0 - 1 L
Oct 12 Coventry City 1 - 4 L
Sep 19 Hull City 2 - 1 W
Sep 14 Leeds United 1 - 4 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
May 24, 2026 Fulham 2 - 0 Newcastle United Craven Cottage
Oct 25, 2025 Newcastle United 2 - 1 Fulham St. James' Park
Feb 1, 2025 Newcastle United 1 - 2 Fulham St. James' Park
Sep 21, 2024 Fulham 3 - 1 Newcastle United Craven Cottage

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Fulham Newcastle United
1.53
xG per match
1.21
1.19
xG against
1.88
14.4
Shots per match
11.9
58
Possession, %
50.8
8
Goals this season
12
50
Both teams scored, %
62.5
37.5
Over 2.5, %
62.5