Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 11

Genoa

AC Milan

Sunday, 8 November 2026 — 14:00 UTC

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

AI Prediction Markets

Model 46%

Probability Distribution Home (28%) / Draw (26%) / Away (46%)

AC Milan win (2) 46%

— OddScore Pick

Genoa win (1) 28%

—

Draw (X) 26%

—

Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%

Both teams to score — Yes 57%

—

Both teams to score — No 43%

—

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

—

Under 2.5 goals 46%

—

Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards an AC Milan win in this fixture, with a confidence of 46%. Genoa come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 0.86 expected goals for and 1.38 against.

AC Milan arrive with 3-0-2 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 3 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

Genoa Form

Oct 28 Juventus 2 - 0 W

Oct 25 Venezia 1 - 0 W

Oct 17 Roma 0 - 2 L

Oct 10 Fiorentina 2 - 1 W

Sep 20 Parma 1 - 2 L

AC Milan Form

Oct 28 Bologna 2 - 4 L

Oct 25 Udinese 2 - 0 W

Oct 22 AFC Bournemouth 0 - 3 L

Oct 18 Atalanta 3 - 2 W

Oct 15 Salzburg 4 - 0 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

May 17, 2026 Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Jan 8, 2026 AC Milan 1 - 1 Genoa Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

May 5, 2025 Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Dec 15, 2024 AC Milan 0 - 0 Genoa Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Genoa AC Milan

0.86

xG per match

1.74

1.38

xG against

1.08

Shots per match

12.6

43.7

Possession, %

60.4

Goals this season

44.44

Both teams scored, %

66.67

33.33

Over 2.5, %

55.56