Genoa vs Venezia Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 8

Genoa

Venezia

Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 14:00 UTC

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 43% 17 bookmakers Model 45%

Probability Distribution Home (45%) / Draw (25%) / Away (31%)

Genoa win (1) 45%

2.39 OddScore Pick

Venezia win (2) 31%

3.57

Draw (X) 25%

3.50

Probability Distribution Yes — 56% | No — 44%

Both teams to score — Yes 56%

1.80

Both teams to score — No 44%

2.20

Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 54% | Under — 46%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

2.00

Under 2.5 goals 46%

1.98

Both teams to score Yes — 56% vs No — 44% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 54% vs Under — 46% Over

Neural edge detected Model: 45% | Market: 43% +4.3% Edge

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✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Genoa win in this fixture, with a confidence of 45%. Genoa come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 0.86 expected goals for and 1.38 against.

Venezia arrive with 1-0-4 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 0 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. At the current price of 2.39 that leaves a 4.3% edge over the market.

Genoa Form

Oct 28 Juventus 2 - 0 W

Oct 25 Venezia 1 - 0 W

Oct 17 Roma 0 - 2 L

Oct 10 Fiorentina 2 - 1 W

Sep 20 Parma 1 - 2 L

Venezia Form

Oct 28 Inter 0 - 2 L

Oct 25 Genoa 0 - 1 L

Oct 17 Napoli 1 - 0 W

Oct 12 Atalanta 1 - 3 L

Sep 19 Lazio 0 - 2 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue

Feb 17, 2025 Genoa 2 - 0 Venezia Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sep 21, 2024 Venezia 2 - 0 Genoa Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Genoa Venezia

0.86

xG per match

1.6

1.38

xG against

1.95

Shots per match

14.3

43.7

Possession, %

52.1

Goals this season

44.44

Both teams scored, %

33.33

Over 2.5, %

33.33