Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction & Tips

La Liga • Round 11
Getafe
Getafe
versus
Sevilla
Sevilla
Sunday, 1 November 2026 — 13:00 UTC Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 38% 15 bookmakers Model 39%
Probability Distribution Home (33%) / Draw (28%) / Away (39%)
Sevilla win (2) 39%
2.57 OddScore Pick
Getafe win (1) 33%
3.30
Draw (X) 28%
3.13
Probability Distribution Yes — 52% | No — 48%
Both teams to score — Yes 52%
2.20
Both teams to score — No 48%
1.67
Probability Distribution Under — 55% | Over 2.5 — 45%
Under 2.5 goals 55%
1.48
Over 2.5 goals 45%
2.82
Both teams to score Yes — 52% vs No — 48% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 45% vs Under — 55% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 39% | Market: 38% +2.9% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Getafe host Sevilla in round 11 of La Liga on 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Sevilla enter the match in sixth place after five wins, two draws and three defeats, while Getafe sit 17th with two wins, three draws and five losses. The scoring records underline the difference between them: Getafe have scored five goals and conceded 15, compared with Sevilla’s 16 scored and 16 conceded. The model gives Sevilla a 39.09% chance of winning, ahead of Getafe at 32.52%, with the draw at 28.35%. That represents a modest away advantage, with considerable uncertainty remaining.

The teams’ goal patterns offer contrasting evidence. Both teams have scored in 30% of Getafe’s matches and 70% of Sevilla’s, while their respective rates for over 2.5 goals are 30% and 60%. The model is more evenly balanced on both teams scoring, assigning it a 51.78% probability. It also leans towards under 2.5 goals at 54.75%, while putting over 1.5 goals at 71%. Recent meetings provide some support for a restrained scoring outlook: three of the four listed encounters finished with fewer than 2.5 goals.

Availability adds further uncertainty for both sides. Getafe are without the suspended Dakonam Djené and injured players including Mauro Arambarri and Christantus Uche. Sevilla have Adrià Pedrosa and Isaac Romero suspended, with Rubén Vargas and Marcão among those injured. Sevilla’s stronger league record supports their slight favouritism, but the probabilities leave Getafe and the draw firmly in contention.

Getafe Form

Oct 25 Athletic Club 0 - 4 L
Oct 22 Lugano 2 - 5 L
Oct 19 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 D
Oct 15 Universitatea Craiova 1 - 1 D
Oct 10 FC Barcelona 0 - 3 L

Sevilla Form

Oct 26 Osasuna 2 - 0 W
Oct 18 Real Madrid 1 - 4 L
Oct 12 Levante 3 - 3 D
Sep 19 FC Barcelona 1 - 3 L
Sep 16 Deportivo A Coruña 1 - 0 W

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Feb 22, 2026 Getafe 0 - 1 Sevilla Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Aug 25, 2025 Sevilla 1 - 2 Getafe Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Feb 1, 2025 Getafe 0 - 0 Sevilla Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Sep 14, 2024 Sevilla 1 - 0 Getafe Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Getafe Sevilla
0.76
xG per match
1.27
1.25
xG against
1.45
10.5
Shots per match
12.3
36.8
Possession, %
41.7
5
Goals this season
16
30
Both teams scored, %
70
30
Over 2.5, %
60