Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction & Tips

Bundesliga • Round 9
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
versus
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Friday, 6 November 2026 — 19:30 UTC Volksparkstadion

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 40% 12 bookmakers Model 41%
Probability Distribution Home (41%) / Draw (24%) / Away (36%)
Hamburger SV win (1) 41%
2.52 OddScore Pick
Borussia Mönchengladbach win (2) 36%
2.80
Draw (X) 24%
3.92
Probability Distribution Yes — 58% | No — 42%
Both teams to score — Yes 58%
1.50
Both teams to score — No 42%
2.50
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 58% | Under — 42%
Over 2.5 goals 58%
1.57
Under 2.5 goals 42%
2.37
Both teams to score Yes — 58% vs No — 42% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 58% vs Under — 42% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 41% | Market: 40% +2.5% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Hamburger SV win in this fixture, with a confidence of 41%. Hamburger SV come into this one having taken 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 0.9 expected goals for and 1.89 against.

Borussia Mönchengladbach arrive with 1-0-4 across their own last 5. The last 2 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 0 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. At the current price of 2.52 that leaves a 2.5% edge over the market.

Hamburger SV Form

Oct 24 Paderborn 0 - 1 L
Oct 17 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 0 W
Oct 10 TSG Hoffenheim 3 - 2 W
Sep 19 FC Köln 2 - 1 W
Sep 13 RB Leipzig 0 - 5 L

Borussia Mönchengladbach Form

Oct 23 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 2 W
Oct 18 TSG Hoffenheim 1 - 2 L
Oct 11 FC Köln 1 - 2 L
Sep 19 FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 L
Sep 12 SC Freiburg 0 - 5 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Jan 17, 2026 Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach Volksparkstadion
Aug 24, 2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 - 0 Hamburger SV Stadion im Borussia-Park

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Hamburger SV Borussia Mönchengladbach
0.9
xG per match
1.68
1.89
xG against
2.59
10.9
Shots per match
15.3
39.1
Possession, %
45.7
6
Goals this season
11
28.57
Both teams scored, %
71.43
57.14
Over 2.5, %
100