44%
Hull City vs Everton Prediction & Tips
MKM Stadium
AI Prediction Markets
44%
44%
No
Under
✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown
Hull City host Everton in round 6 of the Premier League on 11 October, kick-off 13:00 UTC. The model gives Everton the edge at 43.75% for an away win. A draw is rated at 28.72% and a Hull City win at 27.5%. The bookmaker prices point the same way, with Everton at 2.11, the draw at 3.62 and Hull City at 3.82. Everton are favoured, but the model still leaves more than half of the probability on a draw or a home win.
Both sides have started the season in similar shape. Hull City are eighth after five games, with two wins, two draws and a loss, and a goal record of 6:4. Everton are seventh with two wins and three draws, unbeaten, and have scored 6 and conceded 3. In both teams' matches so far, both teams have scored 40% of the time. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 40% of Hull City's games and 20% of Everton's, which hints at a lower-scoring contest on Everton's side.
The goals markets are fairly balanced. The model puts both teams scoring at 49.67% and not scoring at 50.33%, which is close to a coin flip. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 43.68% and under 2.5 at 56.28%. Over 1.5 goals is at 69.52%, and over 3.5 is at 22.78%. This suggests a match more likely to produce a modest number of goals than a high-scoring one. Hull City have five players unavailable through injury: Charlie Hughes, Darko Gyabi, Eliot Matazo, Ilyas Ansah and Joe Gelhardt. Everton are without Christian Nørgaard and Hayden Hackney. These probabilities describe likelihoods only, and none of them guarantees a result.