Hull City vs Everton Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 6
Hull City
Hull City
versus
Everton
Everton
Sunday, 11 October 2026 — 13:00 UTC MKM Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 46% 19 bookmakers Model 44%
Probability Distribution Home (28%) / Draw (29%) / Away (44%)
Everton win (2) 44%
2.17 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 29%
3.43
Hull City win (1) 28%
4.31
Probability Distribution No — 50% | Yes — 50%
Both teams to score — No 50%
2.06
Both teams to score — Yes 50%
1.83
Probability Distribution Under — 56% | Over 2.5 — 44%
Under 2.5 goals 56%
1.88
Over 2.5 goals 44%
2.11
Both teams to score Yes — 50% vs No — 50% No
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 44% vs Under — 56% Under
Neural edge detected Model: 44% | Market: 46% -5.6% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Hull City host Everton in round 6 of the Premier League on 11 October, kick-off 13:00 UTC. The model gives Everton the edge at 43.75% for an away win. A draw is rated at 28.72% and a Hull City win at 27.5%. The bookmaker prices point the same way, with Everton at 2.11, the draw at 3.62 and Hull City at 3.82. Everton are favoured, but the model still leaves more than half of the probability on a draw or a home win.

Both sides have started the season in similar shape. Hull City are eighth after five games, with two wins, two draws and a loss, and a goal record of 6:4. Everton are seventh with two wins and three draws, unbeaten, and have scored 6 and conceded 3. In both teams' matches so far, both teams have scored 40% of the time. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 40% of Hull City's games and 20% of Everton's, which hints at a lower-scoring contest on Everton's side.

The goals markets are fairly balanced. The model puts both teams scoring at 49.67% and not scoring at 50.33%, which is close to a coin flip. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 43.68% and under 2.5 at 56.28%. Over 1.5 goals is at 69.52%, and over 3.5 is at 22.78%. This suggests a match more likely to produce a modest number of goals than a high-scoring one. Hull City have five players unavailable through injury: Charlie Hughes, Darko Gyabi, Eliot Matazo, Ilyas Ansah and Joe Gelhardt. Everton are without Christian Nørgaard and Hayden Hackney. These probabilities describe likelihoods only, and none of them guarantees a result.

Hull City Form

Oct 25 Brentford 1 - 1 D
Oct 17 Fulham 0 - 1 L
Oct 11 Everton 2 - 2 D
Sep 19 Newcastle United 1 - 2 L
Sep 12 Chelsea 2 - 2 D

Everton Form

Oct 24 Arsenal 0 - 2 L
Oct 17 Chelsea 0 - 2 L
Oct 11 Hull City 2 - 2 D
Sep 19 Ipswich Town 1 - 0 W
Sep 12 Tottenham Hotspur 0 - 0 D

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Hull City Everton
1.05
xG per match
1.18
1.54
xG against
1.51
10.6
Shots per match
13.6
32.9
Possession, %
46.5
9
Goals this season
8
50
Both teams scored, %
37.5
37.5
Over 2.5, %
25