Hull City vs Ipswich Town Prediction & Tips

Premier League • Round 9

Hull City

Ipswich Town

Saturday, 31 October 2026 — 15:00 UTC

MKM Stadium

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 36% 17 bookmakers Model 37%

Probability Distribution Home (35%) / Draw (28%) / Away (37%)

Ipswich Town win (2) 37%

2.80 OddScore Pick

Hull City win (1) 35%

2.73

Draw (X) 28%

3.55

Probability Distribution Yes — 52% | No — 48%

Both teams to score — Yes 52%

1.67

Both teams to score — No 48%

2.30

Probability Distribution Under — 53% | Over 2.5 — 47%

Under 2.5 goals 53%

2.05

Over 2.5 goals 47%

1.90

Both teams to score Yes — 52% vs No — 48% Yes

Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 47% vs Under — 53% Under

Neural edge detected Model: 37% | Market: 36% +3.0% Edge

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⇄ Why the estimates differ

The estimates are close but distribute the result differently. Hull’s stronger record for points and goals conceded, together with home advantage, may support the market’s slight preference for a home win. Hull have also drawn three of their last five, which could align with the near-equal treatment of the draw. The statistical model may place more weight on underlying performance: Hull’s xG against figure is 1.54, while Ipswich’s is higher at 1.94, and Ipswich have scored more goals and produced a higher attacking xG per match.

Recent results point in both directions. Hull have avoided defeat in their last five, whereas Ipswich have won twice but lost twice. The listed absences are substantial for both teams, and with line-ups not announced, their effect may be assessed differently by the model and bookmakers.

Gap of 1.1 percentage points, and the two estimates favour different outcomes.

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Hull City host Ipswich Town in Premier League round nine, with the model showing a closely balanced contest. Ipswich have the slightly higher estimated chance of winning at 37%, while Hull City are at 35.3% and the draw at 27.7%. The available bookmaker odds are identical for the two teams at 2.73, with the draw priced at 3.55. Hull are 10th after eight matches, having won two, drawn four and lost two, with nine goals scored and eight conceded. Ipswich sit 12th with three wins, one draw and four defeats, scoring 12 goals and conceding 16.

The goal projections point towards a match with at least two goals being more likely than not: the model gives over 1.5 goals a 71.85% probability, while over 2.5 is assessed at 46.91%. Both teams to score is narrowly favoured at 52.35%. Ipswich’s season figures show both teams scoring in 75% of their matches and over 2.5 goals in 62.5%, compared with 50% and 37.5% respectively for Hull. Both squads have unavailable players. Ipswich are missing Abdul Fatawu Issahaku through suspension, alongside seven injured players, while Hull have Kieran Dowell and Óscar Zambrano suspended and nine players listed as injured. The probabilities suggest no clear winner, with a draw also carrying substantial weight.

Hull City Form

Oct 25 Brentford 1 - 1 D

Oct 17 Fulham 0 - 1 L

Oct 11 Everton 2 - 2 D

Sep 19 Newcastle United 1 - 2 L

Sep 12 Chelsea 2 - 2 D

Ipswich Town Form

Oct 23 Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 D

Oct 17 Manchester City 2 - 3 L

Oct 10 Fulham 2 - 1 W

Sep 19 Everton 0 - 1 L

Sep 12 Crystal Palace 3 - 2 W

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Key Stats & Team Metrics

Hull City Ipswich Town

1.05

xG per match

1.21

1.54

xG against

1.94

10.6

Shots per match

10.5

32.9

Possession, %

43.9

Goals this season

Both teams scored, %

37.5

Over 2.5, %

62.5