Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction & Tips

Serie A • Round 8
Inter
Inter
versus
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Sunday, 25 October 2026 — 11:30 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AI Prediction Markets

Market average 69% 17 bookmakers Model 66%
Probability Distribution Home (66%) / Draw (20%) / Away (15%)
Inter win (1) 66%
1.40 OddScore Pick
Draw (X) 20%
5.88
Fiorentina win (2) 15%
8.30
Probability Distribution Yes — 57% | No — 43%
Both teams to score — Yes 57%
1.66
Both teams to score — No 43%
2.38
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 64% | Under — 36%
Over 2.5 goals 64%
1.40
Under 2.5 goals 36%
3.25
Both teams to score Yes — 57% vs No — 43% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 64% vs Under — 36% Over
Neural edge detected Model: 66% | Market: 69% -5.2% Edge

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Our model leans towards a Inter win in this fixture, with a confidence of 66%. Inter come into this one having taken 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 5. The underlying numbers back that up: an average of 2.82 expected goals for and 1.03 against.

Fiorentina arrive with 0-2-3 across their own last 5. The last 4 meetings between the two produced goals at both ends 2 times. For this match the model puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. At the current price of 1.40 the market has this one covered, so there is no edge to take.

Inter Form

Oct 28 Venezia 2 - 0 W
Oct 25 Fiorentina 2 - 1 W
Oct 21 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 - 0 W
Oct 17 Bologna 3 - 1 W
Oct 13 Club Brugge 3 - 4 L

Fiorentina Form

Oct 29 Atalanta 2 - 2 D
Oct 25 Inter 1 - 2 L
Oct 18 Como 1 - 3 L
Oct 10 Genoa 1 - 2 L
Sep 20 Napoli 1 - 1 D

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Mar 22, 2026 Fiorentina 1 - 1 Inter Stadio Artemio Franchi
Oct 29, 2025 Inter 3 - 0 Fiorentina Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Feb 10, 2025 Inter 2 - 1 Fiorentina Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Feb 6, 2025 Fiorentina 3 - 0 Inter Stadio Artemio Franchi

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Inter Fiorentina
2.82
xG per match
1.51
1.03
xG against
1.66
22.3
Shots per match
16.6
63.1
Possession, %
46
25
Goals this season
11
66.67
Both teams scored, %
77.78
77.78
Over 2.5, %
88.89