Inter vs Liverpool Prediction & Tips

Champions League • Round 1
Inter
Inter
versus
Liverpool
Liverpool
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 — 19:00 UTC

AI Prediction Markets

Model 61%
Probability Distribution Home (61%) / Draw (19%) / Away (20%)
Inter win (1) 61%
— OddScore Pick
Liverpool win (2) 20%
—
Draw (X) 19%
—
Probability Distribution Yes — 61% | No — 39%
Both teams to score — Yes 61%
—
Both teams to score — No 39%
—
Probability Distribution Over 2.5 — 65% | Under — 35%
Over 2.5 goals 65%
—
Under 2.5 goals 35%
—
Both teams to score Yes — 61% vs No — 39% Yes
Over / Under 2.5 goals Over 2.5 — 65% vs Under — 35% Over

✦ AI Analysis & Neural Breakdown

Inter host Liverpool in Round 1 of the Champions League, with the match scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 19:00:00 UTC. Looking back at their previous meeting on December 9, 2025, Liverpool secured a 1-0 victory away at Inter. Both sides enter this fixture with notable personnel issues. Inter will be without the injured Joaquín Correa, while Liverpool travel with three confirmed absences due to injury: Federico Chiesa, Hugo Ekitiké, and Joe Gomez.

In terms of last season's form over three matches, Inter maintained a perfect record with three wins, scoring eight goals and conceding three, finishing in second position. Liverpool recorded one win and two draws across their three games, scoring six goals and conceding four to finish seventh. Both teams displayed identical tendencies in those fixtures, with both teams scoring occurring in 66.67% of their matches, and over 2.5 goals also landing in 66.67% of their respective games.

The statistical model favors Inter, assigning the home side a 60.71% probability of victory, compared to a 19.84% chance for a Liverpool win and a 19.49% likelihood of a draw. The analytics also point toward an open encounter, estimating a 60.75% probability that both teams will score. In the goal markets, over 1.5 goals is calculated at 84.75%, over 2.5 goals at 65.45%, over 3.5 goals at 42.87%, and over 4.5 goals at 29.17%. Conversely, the model rates under 1.5 goals at 15.25%, under 2.5 goals at 34.55%, under 3.5 goals at 57.13%, and under 4.5 goals at 70.83%.

Inter Form

Oct 28 Venezia 2 - 0 W
Oct 25 Fiorentina 2 - 1 W
Oct 21 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 - 0 W
Oct 17 Bologna 3 - 1 W
Oct 13 Club Brugge 3 - 4 L

Liverpool Form

Oct 25 Brighton & Hove Albion 2 - 0 W
Oct 20 Villarreal 4 - 3 W
Oct 17 Brentford 2 - 1 W
Oct 14 LASK 6 - 3 W
Oct 11 Manchester City 0 - 3 L

Head to Head History

DateHomeScoreAwayVenue
Dec 9, 2025 Inter 0 - 1 Liverpool Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Key Stats & Team Metrics

Inter Liverpool
2.39
xG per match
2.24
2.73
xG against
1.14
21.3
Shots per match
20.7
54
Possession, %
54
5
Goals this season
12
66.67
Both teams scored, %
100
66.67
Over 2.5, %
100